South Carolina's solidly Republican electoral history continues to shape trader consensus for the November 2026 Senate contest, following the death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since the 1990s, and recent primaries underscore this pattern: Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination while Republicans advanced Darline Graham and Ralph Norman to an August 25 runoff. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising that limit Democratic competitiveness regardless of the eventual GOP nominee. The 89% Republican price captures these baseline conditions, with any shift hinging on the runoff outcome or unexpected general-election developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$144,267 Vol.
$144,267 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
89%
Democratico
12%
$144,267 Vol.
$144,267 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$61,885 Vol.
89%
Democratico
$82,391 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican electoral history continues to shape trader consensus for the November 2026 Senate contest, following the death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since the 1990s, and recent primaries underscore this pattern: Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination while Republicans advanced Darline Graham and Ralph Norman to an August 25 runoff. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising that limit Democratic competitiveness regardless of the eventual GOP nominee. The 89% Republican price captures these baseline conditions, with any shift hinging on the runoff outcome or unexpected general-election developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$144,267Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican electoral history continues to shape trader consensus for the November 2026 Senate contest, following the death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since the 1990s, and recent primaries underscore this pattern: Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination while Republicans advanced Darline Graham and Ralph Norman to an August 25 runoff. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising that limit Democratic competitiveness regardless of the eventual GOP nominee. The 89% Republican price captures these baseline conditions, with any shift hinging on the runoff outcome or unexpected general-election developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$144,267Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's solidly Republican electoral history continues to shape trader consensus for the November 2026 Senate contest, following the death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since the 1990s, and recent primaries underscore this pattern: Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination while Republicans advanced Darline Graham and Ralph Norman to an August 25 runoff. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising that limit Democratic competitiveness regardless of the eventual GOP nominee. The 89% Republican price captures these baseline conditions, with any shift hinging on the runoff outcome or unexpected general-election developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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