South Carolina's solidly Republican lean continues to shape trader positioning in the 2026 Senate contest, where the party holds an 89% implied probability of victory. The death of longtime Sen. Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special primary process, with his sister Darline Graham appointed interim senator and advancing to an August 25 runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman after the August 11 vote produced no majority winner. Pediatrician Annie Andrews secured the Democratic nomination earlier, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent Senate races. Recent polling and primary dynamics underscore limited crossover appeal for Democrats, keeping their prospects near 11.5% ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$144,326 Vol.
$144,326 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
89%
Democratico
12%
$144,326 Vol.
$144,326 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$61,885 Vol.
89%
Democratico
$82,441 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican lean continues to shape trader positioning in the 2026 Senate contest, where the party holds an 89% implied probability of victory. The death of longtime Sen. Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special primary process, with his sister Darline Graham appointed interim senator and advancing to an August 25 runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman after the August 11 vote produced no majority winner. Pediatrician Annie Andrews secured the Democratic nomination earlier, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent Senate races. Recent polling and primary dynamics underscore limited crossover appeal for Democrats, keeping their prospects near 11.5% ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$144,326Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican lean continues to shape trader positioning in the 2026 Senate contest, where the party holds an 89% implied probability of victory. The death of longtime Sen. Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special primary process, with his sister Darline Graham appointed interim senator and advancing to an August 25 runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman after the August 11 vote produced no majority winner. Pediatrician Annie Andrews secured the Democratic nomination earlier, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent Senate races. Recent polling and primary dynamics underscore limited crossover appeal for Democrats, keeping their prospects near 11.5% ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$144,326Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's solidly Republican lean continues to shape trader positioning in the 2026 Senate contest, where the party holds an 89% implied probability of victory. The death of longtime Sen. Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special primary process, with his sister Darline Graham appointed interim senator and advancing to an August 25 runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman after the August 11 vote produced no majority winner. Pediatrician Annie Andrews secured the Democratic nomination earlier, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent Senate races. Recent polling and primary dynamics underscore limited crossover appeal for Democrats, keeping their prospects near 11.5% ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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