Incumbent Lindsey Graham's path to renomination in South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary has strengthened following Paul Dans' April withdrawal and endorsement of challenger Mark Lynch, leaving Graham leading early polls against Lynch and minor candidates amid his substantial war chest and historical GOP dominance in the R+8 state. General election trader consensus at 80.5% for Republicans reflects Graham's incumbency edge over a thin Democratic field headlined by pediatrician Annie Andrews, despite his 61% unfavorable rating in a March Impact Research poll and early hypotheticals showing tight races versus generic Democrats. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican, with Inside Elections at Likely R, underscoring barriers to a Democratic flip on November 3 absent major scandals or turnout surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$29,534 Vol.
$29,534 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
81%
Democratico
21%
$29,534 Vol.
$29,534 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$11,165 Vol.
81%
Democratico
$18,369 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Lindsey Graham's path to renomination in South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary has strengthened following Paul Dans' April withdrawal and endorsement of challenger Mark Lynch, leaving Graham leading early polls against Lynch and minor candidates amid his substantial war chest and historical GOP dominance in the R+8 state. General election trader consensus at 80.5% for Republicans reflects Graham's incumbency edge over a thin Democratic field headlined by pediatrician Annie Andrews, despite his 61% unfavorable rating in a March Impact Research poll and early hypotheticals showing tight races versus generic Democrats. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican, with Inside Elections at Likely R, underscoring barriers to a Democratic flip on November 3 absent major scandals or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$29,534Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Lindsey Graham's path to renomination in South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary has strengthened following Paul Dans' April withdrawal and endorsement of challenger Mark Lynch, leaving Graham leading early polls against Lynch and minor candidates amid his substantial war chest and historical GOP dominance in the R+8 state. General election trader consensus at 80.5% for Republicans reflects Graham's incumbency edge over a thin Democratic field headlined by pediatrician Annie Andrews, despite his 61% unfavorable rating in a March Impact Research poll and early hypotheticals showing tight races versus generic Democrats. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican, with Inside Elections at Likely R, underscoring barriers to a Democratic flip on November 3 absent major scandals or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,534Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lindsey Graham's path to renomination in South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary has strengthened following Paul Dans' April withdrawal and endorsement of challenger Mark Lynch, leaving Graham leading early polls against Lynch and minor candidates amid his substantial war chest and historical GOP dominance in the R+8 state. General election trader consensus at 80.5% for Republicans reflects Graham's incumbency edge over a thin Democratic field headlined by pediatrician Annie Andrews, despite his 61% unfavorable rating in a March Impact Research poll and early hypotheticals showing tight races versus generic Democrats. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican, with Inside Elections at Likely R, underscoring barriers to a Democratic flip on November 3 absent major scandals or turnout surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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