The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, combined with the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the vacancy created by the death of longtime Representative David Scott, produced strong trader consensus that one candidate would secure a majority and avoid a runoff. With multiple Democrats on an all-party ballot and only token Republican opposition, pre-election analysis and historical patterns in similar safe-seat specials pointed to rapid vote consolidation around frontrunners such as Marcye Scott or Everton Blair. Georgia election rules requiring an outright majority for an immediate win reinforced expectations that the leading Democrat would clear 50 percent, keeping the implied probability of a first-round victor near 93 percent until results showed the vote split at roughly 46-37 percent and advanced the top two to the August 25 runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
94% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
94% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, combined with the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the vacancy created by the death of longtime Representative David Scott, produced strong trader consensus that one candidate would secure a majority and avoid a runoff. With multiple Democrats on an all-party ballot and only token Republican opposition, pre-election analysis and historical patterns in similar safe-seat specials pointed to rapid vote consolidation around frontrunners such as Marcye Scott or Everton Blair. Georgia election rules requiring an outright majority for an immediate win reinforced expectations that the leading Democrat would clear 50 percent, keeping the implied probability of a first-round victor near 93 percent until results showed the vote split at roughly 46-37 percent and advanced the top two to the August 25 runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$398Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, combined with the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the vacancy created by the death of longtime Representative David Scott, produced strong trader consensus that one candidate would secure a majority and avoid a runoff. With multiple Democrats on an all-party ballot and only token Republican opposition, pre-election analysis and historical patterns in similar safe-seat specials pointed to rapid vote consolidation around frontrunners such as Marcye Scott or Everton Blair. Georgia election rules requiring an outright majority for an immediate win reinforced expectations that the leading Democrat would clear 50 percent, keeping the implied probability of a first-round victor near 93 percent until results showed the vote split at roughly 46-37 percent and advanced the top two to the August 25 runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Volume
$398Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, combined with the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the vacancy created by the death of longtime Representative David Scott, produced strong trader consensus that one candidate would secure a majority and avoid a runoff. With multiple Democrats on an all-party ballot and only token Republican opposition, pre-election analysis and historical patterns in similar safe-seat specials pointed to rapid vote consolidation around frontrunners such as Marcye Scott or Everton Blair. Georgia election rules requiring an outright majority for an immediate win reinforced expectations that the leading Democrat would clear 50 percent, keeping the implied probability of a first-round victor near 93 percent until results showed the vote split at roughly 46-37 percent and advanced the top two to the August 25 runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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