North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces Republican Max Ganorkar in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan composition and historical results. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of major recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, significant late-cycle turnout changes, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though none have materialized to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-04
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-04
$25,520 Vol.
$25,520 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$25,520 Vol.
$25,520 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$14,749 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$10,771 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces Republican Max Ganorkar in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan composition and historical results. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of major recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, significant late-cycle turnout changes, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$25,520Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces Republican Max Ganorkar in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan composition and historical results. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of major recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, significant late-cycle turnout changes, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,520Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces Republican Max Ganorkar in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan composition and historical results. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of major recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, significant late-cycle turnout changes, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though none have materialized to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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