Scott Wiener holds a modest lead in the CA-11 general election market after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%. The contest remains competitive because both candidates are Democrats in a solidly Democratic San Francisco seat, with differences on housing production, tenant protections, and local versus statewide priorities keeping voter coalitions divided. Recent developments include Barbara Boxer’s late-August endorsement of Chan, Nancy Pelosi’s earlier backing of the supervisor, Wiener’s substantial fundraising edge, and a mid-July poll showing the gap narrowing to roughly five points. Chan’s decision to step back from Board of Supervisors committee work to focus on the campaign has drawn attention but has not yet shifted the implied probability significantly. Upcoming November 3 balloting and any further shifts in turnout or endorsements could still alter positioning before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Scott Wiener
60%
Connie Chan
41%
$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Scott Wiener
$2,978 Vol.
60%
Connie Chan
$10,006 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a modest lead in the CA-11 general election market after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%. The contest remains competitive because both candidates are Democrats in a solidly Democratic San Francisco seat, with differences on housing production, tenant protections, and local versus statewide priorities keeping voter coalitions divided. Recent developments include Barbara Boxer’s late-August endorsement of Chan, Nancy Pelosi’s earlier backing of the supervisor, Wiener’s substantial fundraising edge, and a mid-July poll showing the gap narrowing to roughly five points. Chan’s decision to step back from Board of Supervisors committee work to focus on the campaign has drawn attention but has not yet shifted the implied probability significantly. Upcoming November 3 balloting and any further shifts in turnout or endorsements could still alter positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Volume
$12,983Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a modest lead in the CA-11 general election market after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%. The contest remains competitive because both candidates are Democrats in a solidly Democratic San Francisco seat, with differences on housing production, tenant protections, and local versus statewide priorities keeping voter coalitions divided. Recent developments include Barbara Boxer’s late-August endorsement of Chan, Nancy Pelosi’s earlier backing of the supervisor, Wiener’s substantial fundraising edge, and a mid-July poll showing the gap narrowing to roughly five points. Chan’s decision to step back from Board of Supervisors committee work to focus on the campaign has drawn attention but has not yet shifted the implied probability significantly. Upcoming November 3 balloting and any further shifts in turnout or endorsements could still alter positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,983Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener holds a modest lead in the CA-11 general election market after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%. The contest remains competitive because both candidates are Democrats in a solidly Democratic San Francisco seat, with differences on housing production, tenant protections, and local versus statewide priorities keeping voter coalitions divided. Recent developments include Barbara Boxer’s late-August endorsement of Chan, Nancy Pelosi’s earlier backing of the supervisor, Wiener’s substantial fundraising edge, and a mid-July poll showing the gap narrowing to roughly five points. Chan’s decision to step back from Board of Supervisors committee work to focus on the campaign has drawn attention but has not yet shifted the implied probability significantly. Upcoming November 3 balloting and any further shifts in turnout or endorsements could still alter positioning before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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