Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-05 House Election Winner
NJ-05 House Election Winner
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$14,001 Vol.
91%
Republican Party
$2,301 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,302Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,302Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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