Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet support consistently in the 6–7% range, with Demoskop at 6.6%, Novus at 7.2%, and SCB at 6.3% in May. This positioning reflects stable voter preferences for the Greens amid a broader contest between the red-green opposition bloc and the governing Tidö parties, with limited movement in Green-specific metrics over the past month. Traders appear to weigh the party’s historical performance band of 4–8% and the absence of major recent catalysts—such as policy breakthroughs, leadership changes, or scandals—that would shift its trajectory outside the 5–7% interval.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato5-7% 53%
7-9% 35%
<5% 16.0%
9%+ 5.0%
<5%
16%
5-7%
53%
7-9%
35%
9%+
5%
5-7% 53%
7-9% 35%
<5% 16.0%
9%+ 5.0%
<5%
16%
5-7%
53%
7-9%
35%
9%+
5%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet support consistently in the 6–7% range, with Demoskop at 6.6%, Novus at 7.2%, and SCB at 6.3% in May. This positioning reflects stable voter preferences for the Greens amid a broader contest between the red-green opposition bloc and the governing Tidö parties, with limited movement in Green-specific metrics over the past month. Traders appear to weigh the party’s historical performance band of 4–8% and the absence of major recent catalysts—such as policy breakthroughs, leadership changes, or scandals—that would shift its trajectory outside the 5–7% interval.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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