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icon for Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto
Politica·Primarie

Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto

icon for Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto
Politica·Primarie

Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto

James Fishback 98.4%

James Walker Shaw 3.2%

Jay Collins 2.9%

Byron Donalds 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,741 Vol.

James Fishback 98.4%

James Walker Shaw 3.2%

Jay Collins 2.9%

Byron Donalds 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,741 Vol.

icon for James Fishback

James Fishback

$20 Vol.

98%

icon for James Walker Shaw

James Walker Shaw

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Daniel Nokovich

Daniel Nokovich

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Jim Holcomb

Jim Holcomb

$119 Vol.

1%

icon for Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Rachel Rodriguez

Rachel Rodriguez

$155 Vol.

1%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$34 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,741
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,741
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Correlati

icon for Jay Collins finirà secondo nelle primarie repubblicane per il governatore della Florida?

Jay Collins finirà secondo nelle primarie repubblicane per il governatore della Florida?

100%
Sì
icon for Wilton Simpson sarà il candidato repubblicano per il governatore della Florida?

Wilton Simpson sarà il candidato repubblicano per il governatore della Florida?

<1%
Sì
icon for David Jolly sarà il candidato democratico per il governatore della Florida?

David Jolly sarà il candidato democratico per il governatore della Florida?

100%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "James Fishback" a 98%, seguito da "Paul Renner" a 50%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 18, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto" è "James Fishback" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Paul Renner" a 50%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Governatore della Florida Repubblicano Primario Terzo posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.