California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$34,993 Vol.
$34,993 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$34,993 Vol.
$34,993 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,049 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,944 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$34,993Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,993Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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