Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-05
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-05
$53,084 Vol.
$53,084 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
97%
Partito Repubblicano
3%
$53,084 Vol.
$53,084 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$20,963 Vol.
97%
Partito Repubblicano
$32,120 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$53,084Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,084Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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