The tight Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial runoff between Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed businessman Mike Mazzei stems from a divided GOP electorate following their narrow June primary finish, where each captured roughly 26% amid heavy self-funding and a crowded field. Recent polling shows a statistical tie at 44% apiece among likely voters, with Drummond drawing stronger support from traditional Republicans and metro areas while Mazzei leads among self-identified Trump voters and rural counties on promises of income and property tax cuts plus restrictions on foreign land ownership. The August 25 contest hinges on consolidation of votes from eliminated candidates like Chip Keating and Charles McCall, turnout dynamics, and last-minute endorsements, keeping margins uncertain and contributing to trader pricing that spreads probability across narrow victory ranges rather than decisive separation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDrummond 5–10% 45%
Mazzei 5–10% 45%
Mazzei 10–15% 45%
Drummond 25%+ 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
Drummond 25%+
44%
Drummond 20–25%
43%
Drummond 15–20%
44%
Drummond 10–15%
43%
Drummond 5–10%
45%
Drummond <5%
13%
Mazzei <5%
41%
Mazzei 5–10%
45%
Mazzei 10–15%
45%
Mazzei 15–20%
42%
Mazzei 20–25%
44%
Mazzei 25%+
42%
Drummond 5–10% 45%
Mazzei 5–10% 45%
Mazzei 10–15% 45%
Drummond 25%+ 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
Drummond 25%+
$35 Vol.
44%
Drummond 20–25%
$35 Vol.
43%
Drummond 15–20%
$35 Vol.
44%
Drummond 10–15%
$10 Vol.
43%
Drummond 5–10%
$0 Vol.
45%
Drummond <5%
$0 Vol.
13%
Mazzei <5%
$0 Vol.
41%
Mazzei 5–10%
$0 Vol.
45%
Mazzei 10–15%
$0 Vol.
45%
Mazzei 15–20%
$25 Vol.
42%
Mazzei 20–25%
$25 Vol.
44%
Mazzei 25%+
$25 Vol.
42%
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial runoff between Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed businessman Mike Mazzei stems from a divided GOP electorate following their narrow June primary finish, where each captured roughly 26% amid heavy self-funding and a crowded field. Recent polling shows a statistical tie at 44% apiece among likely voters, with Drummond drawing stronger support from traditional Republicans and metro areas while Mazzei leads among self-identified Trump voters and rural counties on promises of income and property tax cuts plus restrictions on foreign land ownership. The August 25 contest hinges on consolidation of votes from eliminated candidates like Chip Keating and Charles McCall, turnout dynamics, and last-minute endorsements, keeping margins uncertain and contributing to trader pricing that spreads probability across narrow victory ranges rather than decisive separation.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Volume
$190Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial runoff between Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed businessman Mike Mazzei stems from a divided GOP electorate following their narrow June primary finish, where each captured roughly 26% amid heavy self-funding and a crowded field. Recent polling shows a statistical tie at 44% apiece among likely voters, with Drummond drawing stronger support from traditional Republicans and metro areas while Mazzei leads among self-identified Trump voters and rural counties on promises of income and property tax cuts plus restrictions on foreign land ownership. The August 25 contest hinges on consolidation of votes from eliminated candidates like Chip Keating and Charles McCall, turnout dynamics, and last-minute endorsements, keeping margins uncertain and contributing to trader pricing that spreads probability across narrow victory ranges rather than decisive separation.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$190Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial runoff between Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed businessman Mike Mazzei stems from a divided GOP electorate following their narrow June primary finish, where each captured roughly 26% amid heavy self-funding and a crowded field. Recent polling shows a statistical tie at 44% apiece among likely voters, with Drummond drawing stronger support from traditional Republicans and metro areas while Mazzei leads among self-identified Trump voters and rural counties on promises of income and property tax cuts plus restrictions on foreign land ownership. The August 25 contest hinges on consolidation of votes from eliminated candidates like Chip Keating and Charles McCall, turnout dynamics, and last-minute endorsements, keeping margins uncertain and contributing to trader pricing that spreads probability across narrow victory ranges rather than decisive separation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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