**United Russia maintains structural dominance across Russia's regional legislatures through administrative control, candidate nomination advantages, and limited genuine opposition participation.** In September 2025 regional elections, the party secured all but one governorship and clear majorities (roughly 81% of seats overall) in legislative assemblies, following patterns established in prior cycles. For the September 2026 State Duma elections and concurrent regional contests, Kremlin-aligned preparations—including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic voting in about half the regions, three-day voting periods, and integration of wartime veterans into party lists—reinforce this position. United Russia currently holds majorities in all but a handful of regional parliaments and benefits from governors serving as regional party secretaries in most areas. While polling and official targets have been adjusted downward amid economic pressures and war-related fatigue, the absence of competitive opposition and established electoral mechanisms sustain trader expectations of a regional sweep, reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for a "Yes" outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
80% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
Sì
80% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**United Russia maintains structural dominance across Russia's regional legislatures through administrative control, candidate nomination advantages, and limited genuine opposition participation.**
In September 2025 regional elections, the party secured all but one governorship and clear majorities (roughly 81% of seats overall) in legislative assemblies, following patterns established in prior cycles. For the September 2026 State Duma elections and concurrent regional contests, Kremlin-aligned preparations—including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic voting in about half the regions, three-day voting periods, and integration of wartime veterans into party lists—reinforce this position.
United Russia currently holds majorities in all but a handful of regional parliaments and benefits from governors serving as regional party secretaries in most areas. While polling and official targets have been adjusted downward amid economic pressures and war-related fatigue, the absence of competitive opposition and established electoral mechanisms sustain trader expectations of a regional sweep, reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for a "Yes" outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volume
$336Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**United Russia maintains structural dominance across Russia's regional legislatures through administrative control, candidate nomination advantages, and limited genuine opposition participation.**
In September 2025 regional elections, the party secured all but one governorship and clear majorities (roughly 81% of seats overall) in legislative assemblies, following patterns established in prior cycles. For the September 2026 State Duma elections and concurrent regional contests, Kremlin-aligned preparations—including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic voting in about half the regions, three-day voting periods, and integration of wartime veterans into party lists—reinforce this position.
United Russia currently holds majorities in all but a handful of regional parliaments and benefits from governors serving as regional party secretaries in most areas. While polling and official targets have been adjusted downward amid economic pressures and war-related fatigue, the absence of competitive opposition and established electoral mechanisms sustain trader expectations of a regional sweep, reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for a "Yes" outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$336Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**United Russia maintains structural dominance across Russia's regional legislatures through administrative control, candidate nomination advantages, and limited genuine opposition participation.** In September 2025 regional elections, the party secured all but one governorship and clear majorities (roughly 81% of seats overall) in legislative assemblies, following patterns established in prior cycles. For the September 2026 State Duma elections and concurrent regional contests, Kremlin-aligned preparations—including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic voting in about half the regions, three-day voting periods, and integration of wartime veterans into party lists—reinforce this position. United Russia currently holds majorities in all but a handful of regional parliaments and benefits from governors serving as regional party secretaries in most areas. While polling and official targets have been adjusted downward amid economic pressures and war-related fatigue, the absence of competitive opposition and established electoral mechanisms sustain trader expectations of a regional sweep, reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for a "Yes" outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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98%
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