Darline Graham Nordone’s commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary stems from her appointment to finish the late Lindsey Graham’s term, strong family name recognition, and endorsement from President Trump amid a compressed campaign following his July death. These factors produced a first-round lead over Rep. Ralph Norman and other challengers like Rep. Russell Fry and former Gov. Mark Sanford, whose vote split prevented any single rival from closing the gap. Traders price a 5–10 point margin at 97.5% because official results aligned closely with that range after the August 11 vote. A narrower or wider spread remains possible only through final certified tallies, unexpected turnout shifts among early or absentee ballots, or procedural recounts in a field with multiple candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGraham Nordone 5–10% 97.5%
Graham Nordone 10–15% 2.4%
Norman <5% 1.9%
Fry 5%+ 1.2%
$6,480 Vol.
$6,480 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Graham Nordone 20%+
1%
Graham Nordone 15–20%
1%
Graham Nordone 10–15%
2%
Graham Nordone 5–10%
98%
Graham Nordone <5%
1%
Norman <5%
2%
Norman 5%+
1%
Fry <5%
1%
Fry 5%+
1%
Sanford wins
1%
Graham Nordone 5–10% 97.5%
Graham Nordone 10–15% 2.4%
Norman <5% 1.9%
Fry 5%+ 1.2%
$6,480 Vol.
$6,480 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Graham Nordone 20%+
$248 Vol.
1%
Graham Nordone 15–20%
$179 Vol.
1%
Graham Nordone 10–15%
$717 Vol.
2%
Graham Nordone 5–10%
$890 Vol.
98%
Graham Nordone <5%
$393 Vol.
1%
Norman <5%
$2,059 Vol.
2%
Norman 5%+
$602 Vol.
1%
Fry <5%
$439 Vol.
1%
Fry 5%+
$767 Vol.
1%
Sanford wins
$185 Vol.
1%
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham Nordone’s commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary stems from her appointment to finish the late Lindsey Graham’s term, strong family name recognition, and endorsement from President Trump amid a compressed campaign following his July death. These factors produced a first-round lead over Rep. Ralph Norman and other challengers like Rep. Russell Fry and former Gov. Mark Sanford, whose vote split prevented any single rival from closing the gap. Traders price a 5–10 point margin at 97.5% because official results aligned closely with that range after the August 11 vote. A narrower or wider spread remains possible only through final certified tallies, unexpected turnout shifts among early or absentee ballots, or procedural recounts in a field with multiple candidates.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volume
$6,480Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham Nordone’s commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary stems from her appointment to finish the late Lindsey Graham’s term, strong family name recognition, and endorsement from President Trump amid a compressed campaign following his July death. These factors produced a first-round lead over Rep. Ralph Norman and other challengers like Rep. Russell Fry and former Gov. Mark Sanford, whose vote split prevented any single rival from closing the gap. Traders price a 5–10 point margin at 97.5% because official results aligned closely with that range after the August 11 vote. A narrower or wider spread remains possible only through final certified tallies, unexpected turnout shifts among early or absentee ballots, or procedural recounts in a field with multiple candidates.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$6,480Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darline Graham Nordone’s commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary stems from her appointment to finish the late Lindsey Graham’s term, strong family name recognition, and endorsement from President Trump amid a compressed campaign following his July death. These factors produced a first-round lead over Rep. Ralph Norman and other challengers like Rep. Russell Fry and former Gov. Mark Sanford, whose vote split prevented any single rival from closing the gap. Traders price a 5–10 point margin at 97.5% because official results aligned closely with that range after the August 11 vote. A narrower or wider spread remains possible only through final certified tallies, unexpected turnout shifts among early or absentee ballots, or procedural recounts in a field with multiple candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
99%
Ralph Norman arriverà secondo al primo turno delle primarie speciali repubblicane del Senato della Carolina del Sud?
100%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni per il Senato della Carolina del Sud del 2026 con un margine del 10%-15%?
20%
Sì
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