In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-03 Primary First Place
WA-03 Primary First Place
John Braun 38%
Brent Hennrich 24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 20%
Troy Rasband 14.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
John Braun
38%
Brent Hennrich
24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
20%
Troy Rasband
15%
Austin Braswell
3%
John Saulie-Rohman
3%
John P. Roco
10%
Antony Barran
2%
Lawrence Kellogg
16%
John Braun 38%
Brent Hennrich 24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 20%
Troy Rasband 14.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
John Braun
$52 Vol.
38%
Brent Hennrich
$38 Vol.
24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
$40 Vol.
20%
Troy Rasband
$123 Vol.
15%
Austin Braswell
$16 Vol.
3%
John Saulie-Rohman
$39 Vol.
3%
John P. Roco
$45 Vol.
10%
Antony Barran
$16 Vol.
2%
Lawrence Kellogg
$105 Vol.
16%
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$473Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$473Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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