Romania's ongoing political deadlock after multiple failed confidence votes and coalition collapses has positioned Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare as the frontrunner for prime minister at 47.3% in trader consensus, reflecting discussions around a potential minority government backed by PNL, USR, and UDMR. Sorin Grindeanu of the PSD follows at 22.9% amid scenarios where the largest parliamentary party could lead or support an alternative arrangement. Other candidates like Radu Burnete and Ilie Bolojan register lower shares, consistent with fragmented party negotiations and the president's role in nominations. Recent stalled talks and the absence of a stable majority continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of any resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlexandru Nazare 47.3%
Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%
Radu Burnete 6.4%
Ilie Bolojan 4.0%
$3,332,382 Vol.
$3,332,382 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Alexandru Nazare
47%
Sorin Grindeanu
23%
Radu Burnete
6%
Ilie Bolojan
4%
Siegfried Mureșan
2%
Lucian Croitoru
2%
Eugen Tomac
2%
Delia Velculescu
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
1%
Dan Motreanu
1%
Traian Băsescu
1%
Cătălin Predoiu
1%
Ciprian Ciucu
1%
Dragoș Pîslaru
1%
Șerban Matei
1%
Hunor Kelemen
1%
Calin Georgescu
1%
Adrian Veștea
1%
George Simion
<1%
Anca Dragu
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Alexandru Rogobete
<1%
Victor Ponta
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Nazare 47.3%
Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%
Radu Burnete 6.4%
Ilie Bolojan 4.0%
$3,332,382 Vol.
$3,332,382 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Alexandru Nazare
$224,168 Vol.
47%
Sorin Grindeanu
$439,907 Vol.
23%
Radu Burnete
$98,923 Vol.
6%
Ilie Bolojan
$168,112 Vol.
4%
Siegfried Mureșan
$11,043 Vol.
2%
Lucian Croitoru
$47,773 Vol.
2%
Eugen Tomac
$260,843 Vol.
2%
Delia Velculescu
$106,012 Vol.
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
$70,840 Vol.
1%
Dan Motreanu
$76,673 Vol.
1%
Traian Băsescu
$60,634 Vol.
1%
Cătălin Predoiu
$152,553 Vol.
1%
Ciprian Ciucu
$46,381 Vol.
1%
Dragoș Pîslaru
$72,955 Vol.
1%
Șerban Matei
$76,195 Vol.
1%
Hunor Kelemen
$83,766 Vol.
1%
Calin Georgescu
$61,503 Vol.
1%
Adrian Veștea
$205,064 Vol.
1%
George Simion
$60,280 Vol.
<1%
Anca Dragu
$68,435 Vol.
<1%
Raluca Turcan
$46,483 Vol.
<1%
Lucian Isar
$59,344 Vol.
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
$54,291 Vol.
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
$56,429 Vol.
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
$54,148 Vol.
<1%
Alexandru Rogobete
$51,775 Vol.
<1%
Victor Ponta
$58,401 Vol.
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
$48,880 Vol.
<1%
Mircea Geoană
$55,027 Vol.
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
$68,831 Vol.
<1%
Elena Lasconi
$84,883 Vol.
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
$65,272 Vol.
<1%
Emil Boc
$59,354 Vol.
<1%
Dominic Fritz
$54,744 Vol.
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
$60,596 Vol.
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
$61,865 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political deadlock after multiple failed confidence votes and coalition collapses has positioned Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare as the frontrunner for prime minister at 47.3% in trader consensus, reflecting discussions around a potential minority government backed by PNL, USR, and UDMR. Sorin Grindeanu of the PSD follows at 22.9% amid scenarios where the largest parliamentary party could lead or support an alternative arrangement. Other candidates like Radu Burnete and Ilie Bolojan register lower shares, consistent with fragmented party negotiations and the president's role in nominations. Recent stalled talks and the absence of a stable majority continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$3,332,382Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political deadlock after multiple failed confidence votes and coalition collapses has positioned Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare as the frontrunner for prime minister at 47.3% in trader consensus, reflecting discussions around a potential minority government backed by PNL, USR, and UDMR. Sorin Grindeanu of the PSD follows at 22.9% amid scenarios where the largest parliamentary party could lead or support an alternative arrangement. Other candidates like Radu Burnete and Ilie Bolojan register lower shares, consistent with fragmented party negotiations and the president's role in nominations. Recent stalled talks and the absence of a stable majority continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,332,382Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's ongoing political deadlock after multiple failed confidence votes and coalition collapses has positioned Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare as the frontrunner for prime minister at 47.3% in trader consensus, reflecting discussions around a potential minority government backed by PNL, USR, and UDMR. Sorin Grindeanu of the PSD follows at 22.9% amid scenarios where the largest parliamentary party could lead or support an alternative arrangement. Other candidates like Radu Burnete and Ilie Bolojan register lower shares, consistent with fragmented party negotiations and the president's role in nominations. Recent stalled talks and the absence of a stable majority continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of any resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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