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Politica·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politica·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Șerban Matei 17.8%

Radu Burnete 10%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

Cătălin Predoiu 7%

Polymarket

$530,211 Vol.

Șerban Matei 17.8%

Radu Burnete 10%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

Cătălin Predoiu 7%

Polymarket

$530,211 Vol.

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$13,433 Vol.

18%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$14,383 Vol.

10%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$69,271 Vol.

10%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$63,949 Vol.

7%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$19,489 Vol.

2%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$11,069 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$4,921 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$10,529 Vol.

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$12,119 Vol.

1%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$56,813 Vol.

1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$919 Vol.

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$18,198 Vol.

1%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$7,732 Vol.

1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$10,081 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$16,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$11,756 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$10,606 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$11,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$12,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$33,875 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$11,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$10,200 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$15,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$11,464 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$10,658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$9,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$10,355 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$13,983 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$8,779 Vol.

<1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$8,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$8,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for Traian Băsescu

Traian Băsescu

$615 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's fragmented political landscape after the May 5 no-confidence vote that toppled Ilie Bolojan's minority government continues to shape trader views on the next prime minister. President Nicușor Dan has scheduled party consultations for May 18 to identify a viable parliamentary majority before nominating a candidate, with options including a technocratic cabinet or renewed coalition talks among PSD, PNL, USR, and UDMR. This uncertainty sustains a tight race, as no single contender commands broad cross-party backing amid competing reform priorities and fiscal pressures tied to EU funds. Recent signals from Dan favoring workable majorities over experiments keep probabilities dispersed across figures like Șerban Matei and Radu Burnete, with potential separation hinging on the outcomes of these talks or any last-minute coalition breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$530,211
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's fragmented political landscape after the May 5 no-confidence vote that toppled Ilie Bolojan's minority government continues to shape trader views on the next prime minister. President Nicușor Dan has scheduled party consultations for May 18 to identify a viable parliamentary majority before nominating a candidate, with options including a technocratic cabinet or renewed coalition talks among PSD, PNL, USR, and UDMR. This uncertainty sustains a tight race, as no single contender commands broad cross-party backing amid competing reform priorities and fiscal pressures tied to EU funds. Recent signals from Dan favoring workable majorities over experiments keep probabilities dispersed across figures like Șerban Matei and Radu Burnete, with potential separation hinging on the outcomes of these talks or any last-minute coalition breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$530,211
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 32 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Șerban Matei" a 18%, seguito da "Radu Burnete" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 18¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 18% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" ha generato $530.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Prime Minister of Romania?", esplora i 32 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" è "Șerban Matei" a 18%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 18% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Radu Burnete" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.