Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-37 House Election Winner
TX-37 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,839 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$2,301 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$9,140Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,140Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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