Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support ahead of the October 5 vote, positioning CAQ and PLQ in a near-tie for second at around 23 percent each while the Conservative Party of Quebec sits close behind. This configuration makes third place highly contested among the CAQ, PCQ, and PLQ, consistent with market prices clustering near 40-45 percent for those three options. The campaign launch this week, new leadership for the CAQ and PLQ, and voter focus on cost of living, health care, housing, and provincial autonomy add volatility, as regional strengths and potential vote consolidation among francophone and non-francophone blocs could shift final rankings. Low single-digit support for QS and PVQ leaves little room for them to challenge the top contenders under current trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCAQ 46%
PCQ 41%
PLQ 38%
PQ 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
CAQ
46%
PCQ
41%
PLQ
38%
PQ
22%
QS
18%
PVQ
4%
CAQ 46%
PCQ 41%
PLQ 38%
PQ 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
CAQ
$0 Vol.
46%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
41%
PLQ
$0 Vol.
38%
PQ
$0 Vol.
22%
QS
$61 Vol.
18%
PVQ
$167 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support ahead of the October 5 vote, positioning CAQ and PLQ in a near-tie for second at around 23 percent each while the Conservative Party of Quebec sits close behind. This configuration makes third place highly contested among the CAQ, PCQ, and PLQ, consistent with market prices clustering near 40-45 percent for those three options. The campaign launch this week, new leadership for the CAQ and PLQ, and voter focus on cost of living, health care, housing, and provincial autonomy add volatility, as regional strengths and potential vote consolidation among francophone and non-francophone blocs could shift final rankings. Low single-digit support for QS and PVQ leaves little room for them to challenge the top contenders under current trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$228Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support ahead of the October 5 vote, positioning CAQ and PLQ in a near-tie for second at around 23 percent each while the Conservative Party of Quebec sits close behind. This configuration makes third place highly contested among the CAQ, PCQ, and PLQ, consistent with market prices clustering near 40-45 percent for those three options. The campaign launch this week, new leadership for the CAQ and PLQ, and voter focus on cost of living, health care, housing, and provincial autonomy add volatility, as regional strengths and potential vote consolidation among francophone and non-francophone blocs could shift final rankings. Low single-digit support for QS and PVQ leaves little room for them to challenge the top contenders under current trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$228Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support ahead of the October 5 vote, positioning CAQ and PLQ in a near-tie for second at around 23 percent each while the Conservative Party of Quebec sits close behind. This configuration makes third place highly contested among the CAQ, PCQ, and PLQ, consistent with market prices clustering near 40-45 percent for those three options. The campaign launch this week, new leadership for the CAQ and PLQ, and voter focus on cost of living, health care, housing, and provincial autonomy add volatility, as regional strengths and potential vote consolidation among francophone and non-francophone blocs could shift final rankings. Low single-digit support for QS and PVQ leaves little room for them to challenge the top contenders under current trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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