Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois leads trader pricing for Quebec’s next premier at 71.5 percent, reflecting the party’s sustained advantage in recent voting-intention surveys and seat projections ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. PQ support has remained strongest among francophone voters while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec under Premier Christine Fréchette has seen declining satisfaction ratings. Fréchette, who assumed the premiership in April 2026 after winning the CAQ leadership race, trades at 13.3 percent, alongside Liberal leader Charles Milliard at 13.0 percent following his February acclamation. Minor-party figures such as Bernard Drainville, Ruba Ghazal, Éric Duhaime, and Sol Zanetti register negligible probabilities, consistent with their limited polling and seat outlooks. Plamondon’s recent outreach to anglophone voters and emphasis on competent governance have reinforced the market’s assessment of PQ momentum in the final campaign weeks.