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Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 37%

Éric Duhaime 6.2%

Christine Fréchette 4.3%

Polymarket

$23,967 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 37%

Éric Duhaime 6.2%

Christine Fréchette 4.3%

Polymarket

$23,967 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$4,440 Vol.

56%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,615 Vol.

37%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$5,614 Vol.

6%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$2,822 Vol.

4%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,217 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling from Pallas Data places the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 28.5% and Quebec Liberals (PLQ) at 28.3% in popular vote, with PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon favored by traders at 55.5% implied probability due to seat projections granting PQ a majority government in the October 5 election under first-past-the-post rules. PLQ's Charles Milliard, acclaimed leader in February, commands 34% as the main challenger amid a three-way race, bolstered by recent gains before slipping slightly. Incumbent Premier Christine Fréchette's Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) rose to 19% on her post-April leadership win and recent cabinet shuffle, yet trails at 4.3% amid voter fatigue. Conservative Éric Duhaime holds 8.8% as polls tighten toward summer campaign season.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,967
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling from Pallas Data places the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 28.5% and Quebec Liberals (PLQ) at 28.3% in popular vote, with PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon favored by traders at 55.5% implied probability due to seat projections granting PQ a majority government in the October 5 election under first-past-the-post rules. PLQ's Charles Milliard, acclaimed leader in February, commands 34% as the main challenger amid a three-way race, bolstered by recent gains before slipping slightly. Incumbent Premier Christine Fréchette's Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) rose to 19% on her post-April leadership win and recent cabinet shuffle, yet trails at 4.3% amid voter fatigue. Conservative Éric Duhaime holds 8.8% as polls tighten toward summer campaign season.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,967
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Next Premier of Quebec" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" a 56%, seguito da "Charles Milliard" a 37%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 56¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Premier of Quebec" ha generato $24K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Premier of Quebec", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Premier of Quebec" è "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" a 56%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Charles Milliard" a 37%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Premier of Quebec" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.