Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals transformed their minority government into a majority in the House of Commons via a sweep of three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, supplemented by opposition floor-crossing, enabling governance without reliance on confidence votes from parties like Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. This stability, solidified just weeks ago, underpins trader consensus at 98.8% against another snap election by June 30, as the fixed-date Canada Elections Act targets no later than October 2029 for the next general vote absent dissolution of Parliament. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary catalysts, such as a voluntary early call by Carney, a crippling scandal, or unforeseen internal party revolt triggering resignation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$80,435 Vol.
$80,435 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$80,435 Vol.
$80,435 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals transformed their minority government into a majority in the House of Commons via a sweep of three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, supplemented by opposition floor-crossing, enabling governance without reliance on confidence votes from parties like Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. This stability, solidified just weeks ago, underpins trader consensus at 98.8% against another snap election by June 30, as the fixed-date Canada Elections Act targets no later than October 2029 for the next general vote absent dissolution of Parliament. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary catalysts, such as a voluntary early call by Carney, a crippling scandal, or unforeseen internal party revolt triggering resignation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$80,435Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals transformed their minority government into a majority in the House of Commons via a sweep of three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, supplemented by opposition floor-crossing, enabling governance without reliance on confidence votes from parties like Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. This stability, solidified just weeks ago, underpins trader consensus at 98.8% against another snap election by June 30, as the fixed-date Canada Elections Act targets no later than October 2029 for the next general vote absent dissolution of Parliament. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary catalysts, such as a voluntary early call by Carney, a crippling scandal, or unforeseen internal party revolt triggering resignation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$80,435Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals transformed their minority government into a majority in the House of Commons via a sweep of three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, supplemented by opposition floor-crossing, enabling governance without reliance on confidence votes from parties like Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. This stability, solidified just weeks ago, underpins trader consensus at 98.8% against another snap election by June 30, as the fixed-date Canada Elections Act targets no later than October 2029 for the next general vote absent dissolution of Parliament. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary catalysts, such as a voluntary early call by Carney, a crippling scandal, or unforeseen internal party revolt triggering resignation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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