**A Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor-crossings following the April 2025 minority result, has reduced immediate pressure for an early dissolution of Parliament.** The fixed election date falls in October 2029, and a majority allows the government to control the legislative agenda without relying on opposition support for confidence matters. Trader assessments of an earlier call typically hinge on polling trends, economic conditions such as GDP growth and inflation, and any strategic calculation to capitalize on current advantages before the next scheduled vote. Recent by-elections and procedural matters in the House of Commons remain secondary factors unless they shift the seat balance or prompt a loss of confidence. No major scheduled events, such as leadership contests or mandatory confidence votes, are set to force an election timeline before the statutory maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$92,564 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre 2026
7%
$92,564 Vol.
31 dicembre 2026
$907 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**A Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor-crossings following the April 2025 minority result, has reduced immediate pressure for an early dissolution of Parliament.** The fixed election date falls in October 2029, and a majority allows the government to control the legislative agenda without relying on opposition support for confidence matters.
Trader assessments of an earlier call typically hinge on polling trends, economic conditions such as GDP growth and inflation, and any strategic calculation to capitalize on current advantages before the next scheduled vote. Recent by-elections and procedural matters in the House of Commons remain secondary factors unless they shift the seat balance or prompt a loss of confidence. No major scheduled events, such as leadership contests or mandatory confidence votes, are set to force an election timeline before the statutory maximum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$92,564Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**A Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor-crossings following the April 2025 minority result, has reduced immediate pressure for an early dissolution of Parliament.** The fixed election date falls in October 2029, and a majority allows the government to control the legislative agenda without relying on opposition support for confidence matters.
Trader assessments of an earlier call typically hinge on polling trends, economic conditions such as GDP growth and inflation, and any strategic calculation to capitalize on current advantages before the next scheduled vote. Recent by-elections and procedural matters in the House of Commons remain secondary factors unless they shift the seat balance or prompt a loss of confidence. No major scheduled events, such as leadership contests or mandatory confidence votes, are set to force an election timeline before the statutory maximum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,564Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**A Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor-crossings following the April 2025 minority result, has reduced immediate pressure for an early dissolution of Parliament.** The fixed election date falls in October 2029, and a majority allows the government to control the legislative agenda without relying on opposition support for confidence matters. Trader assessments of an earlier call typically hinge on polling trends, economic conditions such as GDP growth and inflation, and any strategic calculation to capitalize on current advantages before the next scheduled vote. Recent by-elections and procedural matters in the House of Commons remain secondary factors unless they shift the seat balance or prompt a loss of confidence. No major scheduled events, such as leadership contests or mandatory confidence votes, are set to force an election timeline before the statutory maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti