Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, reflected in trader consensus around 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent polls from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and others show Shapiro leading by 13–20 points among likely voters, supported by roughly 60% job approval, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors by wide margins, combined with Garrity’s lower name recognition, reinforces this positioning. The November 3 general election outcome could still shift due to unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political swings in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore della Pennsylvania
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore della Pennsylvania
$49,101 Vol.
$49,101 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
96%
Repubblicano
3%
$49,101 Vol.
$49,101 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
$7,465 Vol.
96%
Repubblicano
$41,635 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, reflected in trader consensus around 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent polls from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and others show Shapiro leading by 13–20 points among likely voters, supported by roughly 60% job approval, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors by wide margins, combined with Garrity’s lower name recognition, reinforces this positioning. The November 3 general election outcome could still shift due to unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political swings in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$49,101Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, reflected in trader consensus around 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent polls from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and others show Shapiro leading by 13–20 points among likely voters, supported by roughly 60% job approval, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors by wide margins, combined with Garrity’s lower name recognition, reinforces this positioning. The November 3 general election outcome could still shift due to unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political swings in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$49,101Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, reflected in trader consensus around 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent polls from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and others show Shapiro leading by 13–20 points among likely voters, supported by roughly 60% job approval, broad crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors by wide margins, combined with Garrity’s lower name recognition, reinforces this positioning. The November 3 general election outcome could still shift due to unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political swings in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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