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icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 99.3%

Steve Hilton <1%

Tom Steyer <1%

Thunder Parley <1%

Polymarket

$934,827 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 99.3%

Steve Hilton <1%

Tom Steyer <1%

Thunder Parley <1%

Polymarket

$934,827 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$331,578 Vol.

99%

Steve Hilton

$336,952 Vol.

1%

Tom Steyer

$179,341 Vol.

<1%

Thunder Parley

$3,426 Vol.

<1%

Raji Rab

$2,762 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$3,399 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$3,218 Vol.

<1%

Chad Bianco

$34,740 Vol.

<1%

Derek Grasty

$2,674 Vol.

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$2,330 Vol.

<1%

Katie Porter

$3,382 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$2,744 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$4,461 Vol.

<1%

Matt Mahan

$4,704 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$3,543 Vol.

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$5,262 Vol.

<1%

Nicki Minaj

$6,000 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$4,310 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for governor with roughly 28% of the vote, advancing alongside Steve Hilton to the November general election. Democratic voter consolidation around the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and California attorney general—following the withdrawal of other contenders—combined with endorsements from labor, progressive groups, and elected officials propelled his lead in final tallies over Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer. Trader consensus at 98.8% for Becerra reflects these certified primary results and the substantial margin separating him from the field. Full certification by July 10 could still introduce minor shifts from remaining mail ballots, though current vote distributions make any change to first place highly improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$934,827
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for governor with roughly 28% of the vote, advancing alongside Steve Hilton to the November general election. Democratic voter consolidation around the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and California attorney general—following the withdrawal of other contenders—combined with endorsements from labor, progressive groups, and elected officials propelled his lead in final tallies over Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer. Trader consensus at 98.8% for Becerra reflects these certified primary results and the substantial margin separating him from the field. Full certification by July 10 could still introduce minor shifts from remaining mail ballots, though current vote distributions make any change to first place highly improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$934,827
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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"California Governor Primary Election: First Place" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 18 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Xavier Becerra" a 99%, seguito da "Steve Hilton" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" ha generato $934.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 16, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "California Governor Primary Election: First Place", esplora i 18 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" è "Xavier Becerra" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Steve Hilton" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.