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icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Politica·Primarie

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Politica·Primarie

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 48%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Matt Mahan 3.2%

Polymarket

$27,602 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 48%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Matt Mahan 3.2%

Polymarket

$27,602 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$7,627 Vol.

48%

Tom Steyer

$4,763 Vol.

25%

Steve Hilton

$3,637 Vol.

23%

Matt Mahan

$1,581 Vol.

3%

Chad Bianco

$1,124 Vol.

3%

Katie Porter

$1,177 Vol.

2%

Nicki Minaj

$698 Vol.

1%

Raji Rab

$682 Vol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$761 Vol.

1%

Daniel Mercuri

$640 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$551 Vol.

<1%

Thunder Parley

$505 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$629 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$658 Vol.

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$615 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$605 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$682 Vol.

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$666 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent Emerson College Polling released yesterday shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra surging to 19% in the June 2 top-two primary for California governor, a nine-point gain since mid-April, propelling trader consensus to 48% implied probability for first place amid a fragmented Democratic field. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds steady at around 17% with self-funding and Sierra Club endorsement on May 6 bolstering his climate-focused pitch, while Republican Steve Hilton matches that level on Trump backing and outsider appeal targeting housing costs and taxes. Volatility persists post-final debate last week, with early voting underway; Democratic vote-splitting risks a Republican top-two advance in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$27,602
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent Emerson College Polling released yesterday shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra surging to 19% in the June 2 top-two primary for California governor, a nine-point gain since mid-April, propelling trader consensus to 48% implied probability for first place amid a fragmented Democratic field. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds steady at around 17% with self-funding and Sierra Club endorsement on May 6 bolstering his climate-focused pitch, while Republican Steve Hilton matches that level on Trump backing and outsider appeal targeting housing costs and taxes. Volatility persists post-final debate last week, with early voting underway; Democratic vote-splitting risks a Republican top-two advance in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$27,602
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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"California Governor Primary Election: First Place" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 18 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Xavier Becerra" a 48%, seguito da "Tom Steyer" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 48¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" ha generato $27.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 16, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "California Governor Primary Election: First Place", esplora i 18 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" è "Xavier Becerra" a 48%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tom Steyer" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.