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Elezioni·Primarie

Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Elezioni·Primarie

Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Collins <5% 44%

Collins 5–10% 42%

Collins 15–20% 41%

Collins 20–25% 39%

Polymarket

$50 Vol.

Collins <5% 44%

Collins 5–10% 42%

Collins 15–20% 41%

Collins 20–25% 39%

Polymarket

$50 Vol.

Dooley vince

$15 Vol.

15%

Collins <5%

$5 Vol.

44%

Collins 5–10%

$10 Vol.

42%

Collins 10–15%

$5 Vol.

37%

Collins 15–20%

$5 Vol.

41%

Collins 20–25%

$5 Vol.

39%

Collins 25%+

$5 Vol.

38%

The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.

The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$50
Data di fine
25 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.

The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$50
Data di fine
25 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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"Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Collins <5%" a 44%, seguito da "Collins 5–10%" a 42%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 10, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" è "Collins <5%" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Collins 5–10%" a 42%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.