The near-certain trader consensus on Trump remaining in office through June 30 stems from the absence of impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health developments that could trigger an early departure. As the sitting president with institutional continuity intact, no scheduled votes, cabinet pressures, or diplomatic crises point to removal in the narrow window ahead. Historical patterns show presidential terms rarely end abruptly absent major scandals or medical events, and current conditions align with that baseline. Even so, an unforeseen health emergency or sudden political rupture could still shift the outcome before the date, though no such catalysts are evident at present.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$5,262,155 Vol.
$5,262,155 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$5,262,155 Vol.
$5,262,155 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus on Trump remaining in office through June 30 stems from the absence of impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health developments that could trigger an early departure. As the sitting president with institutional continuity intact, no scheduled votes, cabinet pressures, or diplomatic crises point to removal in the narrow window ahead. Historical patterns show presidential terms rarely end abruptly absent major scandals or medical events, and current conditions align with that baseline. Even so, an unforeseen health emergency or sudden political rupture could still shift the outcome before the date, though no such catalysts are evident at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$5,262,155Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus on Trump remaining in office through June 30 stems from the absence of impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health developments that could trigger an early departure. As the sitting president with institutional continuity intact, no scheduled votes, cabinet pressures, or diplomatic crises point to removal in the narrow window ahead. Historical patterns show presidential terms rarely end abruptly absent major scandals or medical events, and current conditions align with that baseline. Even so, an unforeseen health emergency or sudden political rupture could still shift the outcome before the date, though no such catalysts are evident at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,262,155Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus on Trump remaining in office through June 30 stems from the absence of impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health developments that could trigger an early departure. As the sitting president with institutional continuity intact, no scheduled votes, cabinet pressures, or diplomatic crises point to removal in the narrow window ahead. Historical patterns show presidential terms rarely end abruptly absent major scandals or medical events, and current conditions align with that baseline. Even so, an unforeseen health emergency or sudden political rupture could still shift the outcome before the date, though no such catalysts are evident at present.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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