Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations despite months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. Recent escalatory rhetoric peaked on May 12 when Iranian officials threatened weapons-grade 90% enrichment if US or Israeli strikes resume, amid US intelligence reports of only limited damage to Tehran's facilities from prior actions. IAEA reports highlight ongoing stockpile growth to near-weapons-grade levels and restricted agency access, underscoring verification challenges. Key rifts persist over suspension terms—US demands zero enrichment or a 20-year halt, while Iran offers dilution to 20% or shorter pauses—making a full cessation deal improbable before the deadline absent major concessions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$1,349,584 Vol.
$1,349,584 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$1,349,584 Vol.
$1,349,584 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations despite months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. Recent escalatory rhetoric peaked on May 12 when Iranian officials threatened weapons-grade 90% enrichment if US or Israeli strikes resume, amid US intelligence reports of only limited damage to Tehran's facilities from prior actions. IAEA reports highlight ongoing stockpile growth to near-weapons-grade levels and restricted agency access, underscoring verification challenges. Key rifts persist over suspension terms—US demands zero enrichment or a 20-year halt, while Iran offers dilution to 20% or shorter pauses—making a full cessation deal improbable before the deadline absent major concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,349,584Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations despite months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. Recent escalatory rhetoric peaked on May 12 when Iranian officials threatened weapons-grade 90% enrichment if US or Israeli strikes resume, amid US intelligence reports of only limited damage to Tehran's facilities from prior actions. IAEA reports highlight ongoing stockpile growth to near-weapons-grade levels and restricted agency access, underscoring verification challenges. Key rifts persist over suspension terms—US demands zero enrichment or a 20-year halt, while Iran offers dilution to 20% or shorter pauses—making a full cessation deal improbable before the deadline absent major concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,349,584Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations despite months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. Recent escalatory rhetoric peaked on May 12 when Iranian officials threatened weapons-grade 90% enrichment if US or Israeli strikes resume, amid US intelligence reports of only limited damage to Tehran's facilities from prior actions. IAEA reports highlight ongoing stockpile growth to near-weapons-grade levels and restricted agency access, underscoring verification challenges. Key rifts persist over suspension terms—US demands zero enrichment or a 20-year halt, while Iran offers dilution to 20% or shorter pauses—making a full cessation deal improbable before the deadline absent major concessions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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