Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$11,993,441 Vol.
$11,993,441 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$11,993,441 Vol.
$11,993,441 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$11,993,441Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,993,441Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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