U.S. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in negotiations with Iran to end ongoing hostilities, marking the latest signal in diplomatic efforts amid the war now in its third month. Vance previously led U.S. delegations to Islamabad, Pakistan, in April for direct talks with Iranian officials, including a 21-hour session that ended without agreement, prompting trip pauses and cease-fire extensions by President Trump. Recent meetings, such as Vance's May 8 discussion with Qatar's prime minister on Iran, underscore multilateral diplomacy, though Tehran has issued mixed signals. Traders should watch for announcements of new rounds in Pakistan or elsewhere before the market's resolution date, as escalation risks or breakthroughs could shift probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$104,788 Vol.
15 mag 2026
May 15
<1%
May 31
13%
June 30
30%
$104,788 Vol.
May 15
$51,799 Vol.
<1%
May 31
$46,024 Vol.
13%
June 30
$6,965 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in negotiations with Iran to end ongoing hostilities, marking the latest signal in diplomatic efforts amid the war now in its third month. Vance previously led U.S. delegations to Islamabad, Pakistan, in April for direct talks with Iranian officials, including a 21-hour session that ended without agreement, prompting trip pauses and cease-fire extensions by President Trump. Recent meetings, such as Vance's May 8 discussion with Qatar's prime minister on Iran, underscore multilateral diplomacy, though Tehran has issued mixed signals. Traders should watch for announcements of new rounds in Pakistan or elsewhere before the market's resolution date, as escalation risks or breakthroughs could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$104,788Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in negotiations with Iran to end ongoing hostilities, marking the latest signal in diplomatic efforts amid the war now in its third month. Vance previously led U.S. delegations to Islamabad, Pakistan, in April for direct talks with Iranian officials, including a 21-hour session that ended without agreement, prompting trip pauses and cease-fire extensions by President Trump. Recent meetings, such as Vance's May 8 discussion with Qatar's prime minister on Iran, underscore multilateral diplomacy, though Tehran has issued mixed signals. Traders should watch for announcements of new rounds in Pakistan or elsewhere before the market's resolution date, as escalation risks or breakthroughs could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$104,788Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in negotiations with Iran to end ongoing hostilities, marking the latest signal in diplomatic efforts amid the war now in its third month. Vance previously led U.S. delegations to Islamabad, Pakistan, in April for direct talks with Iranian officials, including a 21-hour session that ended without agreement, prompting trip pauses and cease-fire extensions by President Trump. Recent meetings, such as Vance's May 8 discussion with Qatar's prime minister on Iran, underscore multilateral diplomacy, though Tehran has issued mixed signals. Traders should watch for announcements of new rounds in Pakistan or elsewhere before the market's resolution date, as escalation risks or breakthroughs could shift probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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