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Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

mag 31

mag 31

$139,585 Vol.

31 mag 2026
Polymarket

$139,585 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$21,290 Vol.

18%

↑ $4.70

$11,298 Vol.

46%

↑ $4.60

$11,504 Vol.

74%

↓ $4.25

$2,464 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.20

$1,860 Vol.

17%

↓ $4.10

$774 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.00

$884 Vol.

10%

↓ $3.75

$1,486 Vol.

3%

↓ $3.50

$6,945 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. regular gasoline's national average has surged to $4.53 per gallon (AAA data, May 14, 2026), propelled by Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict, domestic refinery outages, and WTI crude near $101 per barrel with Brent at $106—marking a 42-cent monthly gain and 44% year-over-year rise. EIA reports gasoline inventories fell 4.1 million barrels to 215.7 million for the week ending May 8, tightening supply as summer blend transitions coincide with Memorial Day demand surges of 5-10%. Traders weigh upside risks from geopolitical escalation against potential de-escalation, with the May 20 EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report as the pivotal near-term catalyst ahead of May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$139,585
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. regular gasoline's national average has surged to $4.53 per gallon (AAA data, May 14, 2026), propelled by Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict, domestic refinery outages, and WTI crude near $101 per barrel with Brent at $106—marking a 42-cent monthly gain and 44% year-over-year rise. EIA reports gasoline inventories fell 4.1 million barrels to 215.7 million for the week ending May 8, tightening supply as summer blend transitions coincide with Memorial Day demand surges of 5-10%. Traders weigh upside risks from geopolitical escalation against potential de-escalation, with the May 20 EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report as the pivotal near-term catalyst ahead of May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$139,585
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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Domande frequenti

"Will gas hit __ by end of May?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "↑ $4.50" a 100%, seguito da "↑ $4.45" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" ha generato $139.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 30, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Will gas hit __ by end of May?", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" è "↑ $4.50" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "↑ $4.45" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.