President Trump’s May 11 endorsement of a temporary federal gas tax suspension, prompted by pump prices above $4 amid the Iran conflict, has driven recent legislative momentum. Republican senators including Josh Hawley introduced a 90-day pause on the 18.4-cent gasoline and 24.4-cent diesel excise taxes, with authority for a 90-day extension, while House Republicans advanced parallel measures. Earlier bipartisan proposals from Democrats sought a longer pause through October with general-fund offsets. Passage requires congressional action to amend the Highway Trust Fund revenue provisions, as only lawmakers can alter the fixed rates set in statute. Analysts note the move would cut pump prices modestly while creating an estimated $17 billion revenue shortfall, and its timing hinges on fuel-price trends and surface-transportation funding debates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJune 30
18%
November 2
40%
$4,940 Vol.
June 30
18%
November 2
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s May 11 endorsement of a temporary federal gas tax suspension, prompted by pump prices above $4 amid the Iran conflict, has driven recent legislative momentum. Republican senators including Josh Hawley introduced a 90-day pause on the 18.4-cent gasoline and 24.4-cent diesel excise taxes, with authority for a 90-day extension, while House Republicans advanced parallel measures. Earlier bipartisan proposals from Democrats sought a longer pause through October with general-fund offsets. Passage requires congressional action to amend the Highway Trust Fund revenue provisions, as only lawmakers can alter the fixed rates set in statute. Analysts note the move would cut pump prices modestly while creating an estimated $17 billion revenue shortfall, and its timing hinges on fuel-price trends and surface-transportation funding debates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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