Trader consensus heavily favors “No” on a Trump kiss by May 31 because the brief diplomatic window with Xi Jinping closed without any lip-to-lip, cheek, or hand contact, and no comparable high-profile public spectacle or ceremonial moment remains on the calendar before month-end. Recent summit coverage emphasized formal handshakes and photo-ops rather than the playful or affectionate gestures that occasionally fuel viral pop-culture speculation, leaving little room for the kind of unexpected personal touch that could shift momentum. With the next major calendar events weeks away and Trump’s schedule dominated by standard policy appearances, the market sees scant opportunity for the theatrical payoff that would resolve the market to “Yes.”