Morena's commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market reflects its status as the ruling party under President Claudia Sheinbaum, bolstered by an established voter base, ongoing social programs, and coalition coordination with the PT and PVEM. The opposition remains divided, with PAN, PRI, and MC contesting separately after prior alliances dissolved, limiting their ability to challenge for the most seats in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies. Recent party activities, including Morena's candidate screening and internal guidelines ahead of the June 2027 vote, reinforce organizational strength. Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a Morena win, though shifts could arise from major economic pressures, security developments, or unexpected coalition changes within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMorena 92.9%
PRI 3.3%
PAN 3.2%
MC <1%
$87,213 Vol.
$87,213 Vol.
6 giu 2027
Morena
93%
PRI
3%
PAN
3%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 92.9%
PRI 3.3%
PAN 3.2%
MC <1%
$87,213 Vol.
$87,213 Vol.
6 giu 2027
Morena
$52,855 Vol.
93%
PRI
$6,320 Vol.
3%
PAN
$9,512 Vol.
3%
MC
$7,582 Vol.
<1%
PT
$5,139 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$5,805 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market reflects its status as the ruling party under President Claudia Sheinbaum, bolstered by an established voter base, ongoing social programs, and coalition coordination with the PT and PVEM. The opposition remains divided, with PAN, PRI, and MC contesting separately after prior alliances dissolved, limiting their ability to challenge for the most seats in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies. Recent party activities, including Morena's candidate screening and internal guidelines ahead of the June 2027 vote, reinforce organizational strength. Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a Morena win, though shifts could arise from major economic pressures, security developments, or unexpected coalition changes within the resolution window.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$87,213Data di fine
6 giu 2027Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market reflects its status as the ruling party under President Claudia Sheinbaum, bolstered by an established voter base, ongoing social programs, and coalition coordination with the PT and PVEM. The opposition remains divided, with PAN, PRI, and MC contesting separately after prior alliances dissolved, limiting their ability to challenge for the most seats in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies. Recent party activities, including Morena's candidate screening and internal guidelines ahead of the June 2027 vote, reinforce organizational strength. Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a Morena win, though shifts could arise from major economic pressures, security developments, or unexpected coalition changes within the resolution window.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$87,213Data di fine
6 giu 2027Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena's commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market reflects its status as the ruling party under President Claudia Sheinbaum, bolstered by an established voter base, ongoing social programs, and coalition coordination with the PT and PVEM. The opposition remains divided, with PAN, PRI, and MC contesting separately after prior alliances dissolved, limiting their ability to challenge for the most seats in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies. Recent party activities, including Morena's candidate screening and internal guidelines ahead of the June 2027 vote, reinforce organizational strength. Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a Morena win, though shifts could arise from major economic pressures, security developments, or unexpected coalition changes within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
65%
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
41%
L'Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari lettoni del 2026?
54%
Sì
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti