The Trump administration has maintained and expanded sanctions pressure on Cuba’s energy sector in 2026 through Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Designations of Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with additional targets in July, August, and September, have reinforced the blockade that followed the cutoff of Venezuelan shipments after Maduro’s capture and threats against other suppliers. Recent reporting on collapsed secret talks offering limited oil access in exchange for concessions highlights internal political constraints and Havana’s resistance to preconditions. These developments sustain trader consensus around low odds of any official relief announcement, as policy statements continue to link any easing to unmet demands for political and economic reforms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$46,696 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
25%
31 dicembre
41%
$46,696 Vol.
30 settembre
$43 Vol.
25%
31 dicembre
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained and expanded sanctions pressure on Cuba’s energy sector in 2026 through Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Designations of Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with additional targets in July, August, and September, have reinforced the blockade that followed the cutoff of Venezuelan shipments after Maduro’s capture and threats against other suppliers. Recent reporting on collapsed secret talks offering limited oil access in exchange for concessions highlights internal political constraints and Havana’s resistance to preconditions. These developments sustain trader consensus around low odds of any official relief announcement, as policy statements continue to link any easing to unmet demands for political and economic reforms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$46,696Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained and expanded sanctions pressure on Cuba’s energy sector in 2026 through Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Designations of Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with additional targets in July, August, and September, have reinforced the blockade that followed the cutoff of Venezuelan shipments after Maduro’s capture and threats against other suppliers. Recent reporting on collapsed secret talks offering limited oil access in exchange for concessions highlights internal political constraints and Havana’s resistance to preconditions. These developments sustain trader consensus around low odds of any official relief announcement, as policy statements continue to link any easing to unmet demands for political and economic reforms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,696Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has maintained and expanded sanctions pressure on Cuba’s energy sector in 2026 through Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Designations of Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with additional targets in July, August, and September, have reinforced the blockade that followed the cutoff of Venezuelan shipments after Maduro’s capture and threats against other suppliers. Recent reporting on collapsed secret talks offering limited oil access in exchange for concessions highlights internal political constraints and Havana’s resistance to preconditions. These developments sustain trader consensus around low odds of any official relief announcement, as policy statements continue to link any easing to unmet demands for political and economic reforms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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