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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24% probabilità
Polymarket

$270,779 Vol.

24% probabilità
Polymarket

$270,779 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$270,779
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$270,779
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 24% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 24¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 24% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" ha generato $270.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" è 24% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 24% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.