Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office as of September 2026, with no official announcements, procedural actions, or credible reports indicating resignation or removal. Trader consensus reflects this stability through low implied probabilities of departure by year-end, driven by Vance’s active engagement in administration priorities such as Iran-related diplomacy, fraud oversight, and aggressive midterm campaigning alongside President Trump. Early 2028 Republican primary polling shows Vance leading potential rivals, while Trump has offered public praise without an endorsement and described the field as deep. Vance has deferred personal political decisions until after the November midterms, focusing instead on party turnout and policy execution. Structural factors, including the constitutional four-year term ending in 2029 and historical patterns of vice-presidential continuity absent major scandals or health events, further support the current positioning. Upcoming midterm results and any post-election shifts in administration dynamics represent the primary near-term variables that could influence future assessments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$243,307 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
5%
$243,307 Vol.
31 dicembre
$151,999 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office as of September 2026, with no official announcements, procedural actions, or credible reports indicating resignation or removal. Trader consensus reflects this stability through low implied probabilities of departure by year-end, driven by Vance’s active engagement in administration priorities such as Iran-related diplomacy, fraud oversight, and aggressive midterm campaigning alongside President Trump. Early 2028 Republican primary polling shows Vance leading potential rivals, while Trump has offered public praise without an endorsement and described the field as deep. Vance has deferred personal political decisions until after the November midterms, focusing instead on party turnout and policy execution. Structural factors, including the constitutional four-year term ending in 2029 and historical patterns of vice-presidential continuity absent major scandals or health events, further support the current positioning. Upcoming midterm results and any post-election shifts in administration dynamics represent the primary near-term variables that could influence future assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$243,307Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office as of September 2026, with no official announcements, procedural actions, or credible reports indicating resignation or removal. Trader consensus reflects this stability through low implied probabilities of departure by year-end, driven by Vance’s active engagement in administration priorities such as Iran-related diplomacy, fraud oversight, and aggressive midterm campaigning alongside President Trump. Early 2028 Republican primary polling shows Vance leading potential rivals, while Trump has offered public praise without an endorsement and described the field as deep. Vance has deferred personal political decisions until after the November midterms, focusing instead on party turnout and policy execution. Structural factors, including the constitutional four-year term ending in 2029 and historical patterns of vice-presidential continuity absent major scandals or health events, further support the current positioning. Upcoming midterm results and any post-election shifts in administration dynamics represent the primary near-term variables that could influence future assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$243,307Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office as of September 2026, with no official announcements, procedural actions, or credible reports indicating resignation or removal. Trader consensus reflects this stability through low implied probabilities of departure by year-end, driven by Vance’s active engagement in administration priorities such as Iran-related diplomacy, fraud oversight, and aggressive midterm campaigning alongside President Trump. Early 2028 Republican primary polling shows Vance leading potential rivals, while Trump has offered public praise without an endorsement and described the field as deep. Vance has deferred personal political decisions until after the November midterms, focusing instead on party turnout and policy execution. Structural factors, including the constitutional four-year term ending in 2029 and historical patterns of vice-presidential continuity absent major scandals or health events, further support the current positioning. Upcoming midterm results and any post-election shifts in administration dynamics represent the primary near-term variables that could influence future assessments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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