John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
10% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Sì
10% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,482Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,482Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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