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Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?

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Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?

Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno 90.5%

Russia 3.1%

Cina 1.3%

Altro <1%

Polymarket

$5,702,600 Vol.

Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno 90.5%

Russia 3.1%

Cina 1.3%

Altro <1%

Polymarket

$5,702,600 Vol.

icon for Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno

Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno

$852,154 Vol.

91%

icon for Russia

Russia

$699,489 Vol.

3%

icon for Cina

Cina

$406,576 Vol.

1%

icon for Altro

Altro

$471,644 Vol.

1%

icon for Paese del Golfo

Paese del Golfo

$286,986 Vol.

1%

icon for Turchia

Turchia

$396,701 Vol.

1%

icon for Stati Uniti

Stati Uniti

$249,969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Altro paese dell'UE

Altro paese dell'UE

$982,002 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bielorussia

Bielorussia

$354,094 Vol.

<1%

icon for Svizzera

Svizzera

$182,654 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ucraina

Ucraina

$225,561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Corea del Sud

Corea del Sud

$195,427 Vol.

<1%

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$110,730 Vol.

<1%

icon for Giappone

Giappone

$152,579 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$136,034 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (90.5%), driven by the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic signals for a bilateral summit in the coming six weeks, following their last encounter in Alaska in August 2025. President Trump's recently concluded summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing—ending May 15 with discussions on Taiwan, trade, and Iran but no reference to Putin—shifts focus to U.S.-China tensions, while Putin plans a separate one-day visit to China on May 20 amid stalled Ukraine peace talks. An April invitation for Putin to the December G20 in Miami falls post-deadline. Barriers include ongoing Ukraine conflict, sanctions, and NATO opposition, though a sudden Ukraine ceasefire breakthrough, neutral-site diplomacy like Switzerland or Turkey, or multilateral inclusion could prompt a rapid shift.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,702,600
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (90.5%), driven by the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic signals for a bilateral summit in the coming six weeks, following their last encounter in Alaska in August 2025. President Trump's recently concluded summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing—ending May 15 with discussions on Taiwan, trade, and Iran but no reference to Putin—shifts focus to U.S.-China tensions, while Putin plans a separate one-day visit to China on May 20 amid stalled Ukraine peace talks. An April invitation for Putin to the December G20 in Miami falls post-deadline. Barriers include ongoing Ukraine conflict, sanctions, and NATO opposition, though a sudden Ukraine ceasefire breakthrough, neutral-site diplomacy like Switzerland or Turkey, or multilateral inclusion could prompt a rapid shift.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,702,600
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno" a 91%, seguito da "Russia" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 91¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" ha generato $5.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 30, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" è "Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno" a 91%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Russia" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.