The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, has driven recent diplomatic engagement on verification access. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in late June that inspections of enrichment sites would occur under the interim accord, with technical discussions underway on dates, procedures, and locations, though Iranian officials have conditioned broader cooperation on a final agreement. Access to the affected facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained sharply restricted since the 2025 strikes, with the Agency limited to unaffected sites such as Bushehr. Ongoing IAEA Board resolutions and reports continue to highlight gaps in safeguards continuity at the damaged enrichment plants, making any verified visit contingent on Iranian facilitation amid unresolved negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'AIEA visita il sito nucleare di Isfahan, Fordow o Natanz da...?
L'AIEA visita il sito nucleare di Isfahan, Fordow o Natanz da...?
$348,700 Vol.
31 ago 2026
31 agosto
1%
31 ottobre
15%
31 dicembre
22%
$348,700 Vol.
31 agosto
$52,844 Vol.
1%
31 ottobre
$77,203 Vol.
15%
31 dicembre
$25,347 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, has driven recent diplomatic engagement on verification access. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in late June that inspections of enrichment sites would occur under the interim accord, with technical discussions underway on dates, procedures, and locations, though Iranian officials have conditioned broader cooperation on a final agreement. Access to the affected facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained sharply restricted since the 2025 strikes, with the Agency limited to unaffected sites such as Bushehr. Ongoing IAEA Board resolutions and reports continue to highlight gaps in safeguards continuity at the damaged enrichment plants, making any verified visit contingent on Iranian facilitation amid unresolved negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$348,700Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, has driven recent diplomatic engagement on verification access. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in late June that inspections of enrichment sites would occur under the interim accord, with technical discussions underway on dates, procedures, and locations, though Iranian officials have conditioned broader cooperation on a final agreement. Access to the affected facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained sharply restricted since the 2025 strikes, with the Agency limited to unaffected sites such as Bushehr. Ongoing IAEA Board resolutions and reports continue to highlight gaps in safeguards continuity at the damaged enrichment plants, making any verified visit contingent on Iranian facilitation amid unresolved negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,700Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, has driven recent diplomatic engagement on verification access. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in late June that inspections of enrichment sites would occur under the interim accord, with technical discussions underway on dates, procedures, and locations, though Iranian officials have conditioned broader cooperation on a final agreement. Access to the affected facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained sharply restricted since the 2025 strikes, with the Agency limited to unaffected sites such as Bushehr. Ongoing IAEA Board resolutions and reports continue to highlight gaps in safeguards continuity at the damaged enrichment plants, making any verified visit contingent on Iranian facilitation amid unresolved negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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