**Iranian parliamentary law and official statements have barred IAEA inspectors from the damaged enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz since the 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes, with no verified visits occurring.** Tehran conditions any access on new inspection protocols for bombed sites and completion of a final U.S.-Iran agreement, while the IAEA reports it remains unable to verify the status or location of roughly 440 kg of 60%-enriched uranium at these locations. The agency has conducted monitoring at unaffected sites such as Bushehr but has faced repeated Iranian refusals tied to parliamentary restrictions and concerns over agency neutrality. Diplomatic talks continue amid U.S. demands for enrichment reductions and an IAEA Board referral of Iran to the UN Security Council in September 2026 for safeguards noncompliance. These factors sustain low near-term probabilities in related prediction markets, as any visit would require a breakthrough on modalities and political agreement before deadlines such as October or December 2026.