Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum have advanced slowly toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the 60-day technical talks window now expired amid focus on an interim Strait of Hormuz shipping accord involving Oman. Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. statements on paused escalation and renewed Oman-mediated contacts in early August, indicate incremental movement but highlight persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns tied to Israel and Gulf states. The MOU explicitly conditions UN Security Council endorsement on completion of a comprehensive final deal, yet no draft resolution or firm timeline for full agreement has emerged, leaving traders to price in delays from complex multilateral coordination and historical precedent for protracted nuclear diplomacy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRisoluzione del Consiglio di sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite che approva l'accordo finale USA-Iran entro il 31 dicembre?
Risoluzione del Consiglio di sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite che approva l'accordo finale USA-Iran entro il 31 dicembre?
Sì
35% probabilità
$124,993 Vol.
$124,993 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
35% probabilità
$124,993 Vol.
$124,993 Vol.
31 dic 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum have advanced slowly toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the 60-day technical talks window now expired amid focus on an interim Strait of Hormuz shipping accord involving Oman. Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. statements on paused escalation and renewed Oman-mediated contacts in early August, indicate incremental movement but highlight persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns tied to Israel and Gulf states. The MOU explicitly conditions UN Security Council endorsement on completion of a comprehensive final deal, yet no draft resolution or firm timeline for full agreement has emerged, leaving traders to price in delays from complex multilateral coordination and historical precedent for protracted nuclear diplomacy.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$124,993Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum have advanced slowly toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the 60-day technical talks window now expired amid focus on an interim Strait of Hormuz shipping accord involving Oman. Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. statements on paused escalation and renewed Oman-mediated contacts in early August, indicate incremental movement but highlight persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns tied to Israel and Gulf states. The MOU explicitly conditions UN Security Council endorsement on completion of a comprehensive final deal, yet no draft resolution or firm timeline for full agreement has emerged, leaving traders to price in delays from complex multilateral coordination and historical precedent for protracted nuclear diplomacy.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$124,993Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum have advanced slowly toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the 60-day technical talks window now expired amid focus on an interim Strait of Hormuz shipping accord involving Oman. Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. statements on paused escalation and renewed Oman-mediated contacts in early August, indicate incremental movement but highlight persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns tied to Israel and Gulf states. The MOU explicitly conditions UN Security Council endorsement on completion of a comprehensive final deal, yet no draft resolution or firm timeline for full agreement has emerged, leaving traders to price in delays from complex multilateral coordination and historical precedent for protracted nuclear diplomacy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti