US special forces conducted a brief incursion into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and a Delta Force raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid months of US military buildup in the Caribbean. Defense Department statements confirmed no sustained troop presence inside Venezuela post-operation, with forces repositioned regionally. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects de-escalation through US-guided interim leadership, sanctions enforcement, and oil export negotiations. Upcoming factors include potential congressional limits on executive military actions, Venezuelan political transitions, and Guyana border tensions that could prompt re-engagement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,298,246 Vol.
31 gen 2026
30 giugno
6%
$1,298,246 Vol.
30 giugno
$213,483 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a brief incursion into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and a Delta Force raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid months of US military buildup in the Caribbean. Defense Department statements confirmed no sustained troop presence inside Venezuela post-operation, with forces repositioned regionally. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects de-escalation through US-guided interim leadership, sanctions enforcement, and oil export negotiations. Upcoming factors include potential congressional limits on executive military actions, Venezuelan political transitions, and Guyana border tensions that could prompt re-engagement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,246Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a brief incursion into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and a Delta Force raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid months of US military buildup in the Caribbean. Defense Department statements confirmed no sustained troop presence inside Venezuela post-operation, with forces repositioned regionally. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects de-escalation through US-guided interim leadership, sanctions enforcement, and oil export negotiations. Upcoming factors include potential congressional limits on executive military actions, Venezuelan political transitions, and Guyana border tensions that could prompt re-engagement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,246Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces conducted a brief incursion into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and a Delta Force raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid months of US military buildup in the Caribbean. Defense Department statements confirmed no sustained troop presence inside Venezuela post-operation, with forces repositioned regionally. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects de-escalation through US-guided interim leadership, sanctions enforcement, and oil export negotiations. Upcoming factors include potential congressional limits on executive military actions, Venezuelan political transitions, and Guyana border tensions that could prompt re-engagement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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