Unified Republican control of the White House and both chambers of Congress has produced strong party discipline that sustains presidential vetoes, as seen in the failed January 2026 override attempts on two late-2025 bills that fell short of the two-thirds threshold in the House. With narrow GOP majorities and limited bipartisan coalitions exceeding typical margins, successful overrides remain rare absent divided government or exceptional cross-aisle support on specific legislation. Trader consensus at 95.9% for no override reflects these structural barriers through the remainder of 2026. A shift in chamber control after the November midterms or an unexpected veto on a measure with broad backing could still alter the outcome before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
4% probabilità
$14,971 Vol.
$14,971 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
4% probabilità
$14,971 Vol.
$14,971 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Unified Republican control of the White House and both chambers of Congress has produced strong party discipline that sustains presidential vetoes, as seen in the failed January 2026 override attempts on two late-2025 bills that fell short of the two-thirds threshold in the House. With narrow GOP majorities and limited bipartisan coalitions exceeding typical margins, successful overrides remain rare absent divided government or exceptional cross-aisle support on specific legislation. Trader consensus at 95.9% for no override reflects these structural barriers through the remainder of 2026. A shift in chamber control after the November midterms or an unexpected veto on a measure with broad backing could still alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,971Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Unified Republican control of the White House and both chambers of Congress has produced strong party discipline that sustains presidential vetoes, as seen in the failed January 2026 override attempts on two late-2025 bills that fell short of the two-thirds threshold in the House. With narrow GOP majorities and limited bipartisan coalitions exceeding typical margins, successful overrides remain rare absent divided government or exceptional cross-aisle support on specific legislation. Trader consensus at 95.9% for no override reflects these structural barriers through the remainder of 2026. A shift in chamber control after the November midterms or an unexpected veto on a measure with broad backing could still alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,971Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Unified Republican control of the White House and both chambers of Congress has produced strong party discipline that sustains presidential vetoes, as seen in the failed January 2026 override attempts on two late-2025 bills that fell short of the two-thirds threshold in the House. With narrow GOP majorities and limited bipartisan coalitions exceeding typical margins, successful overrides remain rare absent divided government or exceptional cross-aisle support on specific legislation. Trader consensus at 95.9% for no override reflects these structural barriers through the remainder of 2026. A shift in chamber control after the November midterms or an unexpected veto on a measure with broad backing could still alter the outcome before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti