Delcy Rodríguez’s position as Venezuela’s acting president since the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 anchors trader consensus on her continued de facto leadership through year-end. Venezuela’s high court directed her succession, which the military endorsed, allowing her to assume powers and begin installing loyalists in key posts while managing internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello. Subsequent developments—including oil-sector engagement with U.S. firms, limited diplomatic outreach, and her navigation of post-intervention constraints—have reinforced her institutional footing. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined amid the absence of scheduled elections, while low-probability outcomes tied to U.S. officials reflect limited evidence of direct replacement. Recent Senate calls for a vote and tentative opposition talks introduce uncertainty but have not yet altered the prevailing power structure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDelcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 2.9%
Dinorah Figuera 1.8%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,934 Vol.
$367,934 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
3%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Nessun Capo di Stato
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 2.9%
Dinorah Figuera 1.8%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,934 Vol.
$367,934 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$86,368 Vol.
90%
María Corina Machado
$52,368 Vol.
3%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,171 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,758 Vol.
1%
Dan Caine
$3,059 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$5,960 Vol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,151 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,500 Vol.
1%
Nessun Capo di Stato
$66,886 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez’s position as Venezuela’s acting president since the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 anchors trader consensus on her continued de facto leadership through year-end. Venezuela’s high court directed her succession, which the military endorsed, allowing her to assume powers and begin installing loyalists in key posts while managing internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello. Subsequent developments—including oil-sector engagement with U.S. firms, limited diplomatic outreach, and her navigation of post-intervention constraints—have reinforced her institutional footing. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined amid the absence of scheduled elections, while low-probability outcomes tied to U.S. officials reflect limited evidence of direct replacement. Recent Senate calls for a vote and tentative opposition talks introduce uncertainty but have not yet altered the prevailing power structure.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Mercato aperto: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$367,934Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez’s position as Venezuela’s acting president since the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 anchors trader consensus on her continued de facto leadership through year-end. Venezuela’s high court directed her succession, which the military endorsed, allowing her to assume powers and begin installing loyalists in key posts while managing internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello. Subsequent developments—including oil-sector engagement with U.S. firms, limited diplomatic outreach, and her navigation of post-intervention constraints—have reinforced her institutional footing. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined amid the absence of scheduled elections, while low-probability outcomes tied to U.S. officials reflect limited evidence of direct replacement. Recent Senate calls for a vote and tentative opposition talks introduce uncertainty but have not yet altered the prevailing power structure.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$367,934Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez’s position as Venezuela’s acting president since the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 anchors trader consensus on her continued de facto leadership through year-end. Venezuela’s high court directed her succession, which the military endorsed, allowing her to assume powers and begin installing loyalists in key posts while managing internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello. Subsequent developments—including oil-sector engagement with U.S. firms, limited diplomatic outreach, and her navigation of post-intervention constraints—have reinforced her institutional footing. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined amid the absence of scheduled elections, while low-probability outcomes tied to U.S. officials reflect limited evidence of direct replacement. Recent Senate calls for a vote and tentative opposition talks introduce uncertainty but have not yet altered the prevailing power structure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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