The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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31 dic 2026
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$3,872Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,872Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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