The October 2025 Ohio redistricting deal, approved unanimously by the commission, adjusted boundaries to favor Republicans in several districts, notably shifting OH-1 and OH-9 toward the GOP while leaving OH-13 more competitive for Democrats. With five Democratic incumbents seeking re-election under the new map and no open seats, trader consensus clusters tightly around four or five seats as the most probable outcomes. National midterm dynamics, including generic ballot trends and district-specific turnout in competitive areas, remain key variables that could widen or narrow the range before November voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato7+ 41%
6 38%
5 36%
4 35%
<2
32%
2
31%
3
32%
4
35%
5
36%
6
38%
7+
41%
7+ 41%
6 38%
5 36%
4 35%
<2
32%
2
31%
3
32%
4
35%
5
36%
6
38%
7+
41%
All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The October 2025 Ohio redistricting deal, approved unanimously by the commission, adjusted boundaries to favor Republicans in several districts, notably shifting OH-1 and OH-9 toward the GOP while leaving OH-13 more competitive for Democrats. With five Democratic incumbents seeking re-election under the new map and no open seats, trader consensus clusters tightly around four or five seats as the most probable outcomes. National midterm dynamics, including generic ballot trends and district-specific turnout in competitive areas, remain key variables that could widen or narrow the range before November voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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