Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as the New York Times and Nate Silver's tracker showing figures near 38 percent amid a months-long range of roughly 37 to 40 percent. The Economist/YouGov survey released in mid-August recorded a new low near 33 percent, reflecting sustained pressure from the ongoing Iran conflict and voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and the economy. With the August 21 reading only days away, trader consensus clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.4 range because additional polling releases in the final window could shift the precise average by a point or two without altering the broader downward trajectory established over the past year. Key upcoming data points or any late diplomatic or economic developments could separate the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoValutazione dell'approvazione di Trump il 21 agosto?
Valutazione dell'approvazione di Trump il 21 agosto?
38,0–38,4 36%
37,5–37,9 29%
38,5–38,9 22%
37,0–37,4 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
<37,0
5%
37,0–37,4
11%
37,5–37,9
29%
38,0–38,4
36%
38,5–38,9
22%
39,0+
4%
38,0–38,4 36%
37,5–37,9 29%
38,5–38,9 22%
37,0–37,4 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
<37,0
$173 Vol.
5%
37,0–37,4
$113 Vol.
11%
37,5–37,9
$391 Vol.
29%
38,0–38,4
$302 Vol.
36%
38,5–38,9
$197 Vol.
22%
39,0+
$163 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as the New York Times and Nate Silver's tracker showing figures near 38 percent amid a months-long range of roughly 37 to 40 percent. The Economist/YouGov survey released in mid-August recorded a new low near 33 percent, reflecting sustained pressure from the ongoing Iran conflict and voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and the economy. With the August 21 reading only days away, trader consensus clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.4 range because additional polling releases in the final window could shift the precise average by a point or two without altering the broader downward trajectory established over the past year. Key upcoming data points or any late diplomatic or economic developments could separate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,339Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as the New York Times and Nate Silver's tracker showing figures near 38 percent amid a months-long range of roughly 37 to 40 percent. The Economist/YouGov survey released in mid-August recorded a new low near 33 percent, reflecting sustained pressure from the ongoing Iran conflict and voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and the economy. With the August 21 reading only days away, trader consensus clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.4 range because additional polling releases in the final window could shift the precise average by a point or two without altering the broader downward trajectory established over the past year. Key upcoming data points or any late diplomatic or economic developments could separate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,339Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as the New York Times and Nate Silver's tracker showing figures near 38 percent amid a months-long range of roughly 37 to 40 percent. The Economist/YouGov survey released in mid-August recorded a new low near 33 percent, reflecting sustained pressure from the ongoing Iran conflict and voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and the economy. With the August 21 reading only days away, trader consensus clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.4 range because additional polling releases in the final window could shift the precise average by a point or two without altering the broader downward trajectory established over the past year. Key upcoming data points or any late diplomatic or economic developments could separate the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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