Trump’s approval rating has settled near 37-38% approve and 59-60% disapprove in recent national polling averages as of early November 2026, after reaching second-term lows near 30-36% in October. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, along with the prolonged conflict with Iran and its effects on energy prices, has driven the decline and contributed to Democratic gains in the November 3 midterms. Erosion of support within the Republican coalition and among key 2024 voting blocs has compounded the trend. In the lame-duck session now underway, developments in immigration enforcement, foreign policy signals, or legislative negotiations could influence polling through year-end, while the divided Congress may limit major new initiatives that might otherwise shift sentiment.