Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating at or near historic lows for a second-term president, averaging 37-40% with individual surveys hitting 33% amid a net rating of -27. The mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have weighed heavily, with majorities viewing the conflict as costly in lives and resources while expressing concern over gas prices and crisis management. Persistent inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and weaker economic ratings have compounded the decline since early 2025. The November 2026 midterms and any further diplomatic or economic developments in the final months of the year represent key variables that could push ratings lower or stabilize them ahead of potential lame-duck dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$111,849 Vol.
31 dic 2026
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$111,849 Vol.
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$75,340 Vol.
33%
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$9,725 Vol.
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$4,066 Vol.
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$3,217 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating at or near historic lows for a second-term president, averaging 37-40% with individual surveys hitting 33% amid a net rating of -27. The mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have weighed heavily, with majorities viewing the conflict as costly in lives and resources while expressing concern over gas prices and crisis management. Persistent inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and weaker economic ratings have compounded the decline since early 2025. The November 2026 midterms and any further diplomatic or economic developments in the final months of the year represent key variables that could push ratings lower or stabilize them ahead of potential lame-duck dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$111,849Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating at or near historic lows for a second-term president, averaging 37-40% with individual surveys hitting 33% amid a net rating of -27. The mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have weighed heavily, with majorities viewing the conflict as costly in lives and resources while expressing concern over gas prices and crisis management. Persistent inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and weaker economic ratings have compounded the decline since early 2025. The November 2026 midterms and any further diplomatic or economic developments in the final months of the year represent key variables that could push ratings lower or stabilize them ahead of potential lame-duck dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$111,849Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating at or near historic lows for a second-term president, averaging 37-40% with individual surveys hitting 33% amid a net rating of -27. The mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have weighed heavily, with majorities viewing the conflict as costly in lives and resources while expressing concern over gas prices and crisis management. Persistent inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and weaker economic ratings have compounded the decline since early 2025. The November 2026 midterms and any further diplomatic or economic developments in the final months of the year represent key variables that could push ratings lower or stabilize them ahead of potential lame-duck dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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