Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating reaching second-term lows around 33-35 percent in mid-August 2026, driven primarily by public concern over the ongoing U.S.-Israel military actions involving Iran and the risk of prolonged engagement. This marks a continued decline from the 47 percent level recorded at the start of the second term in early 2025, with averages settling in the mid-to-high 30s amid partisan polarization exceeding 75 points in some surveys. Traders are monitoring how sustained conflict developments, economic conditions, and the November 2026 midterm elections could further pressure or stabilize ratings, as historical patterns indicate limited rebounds for presidents facing foreign policy challenges during their second term.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$116,398 Vol.
30 dic 2026
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$116,398 Vol.
35%
$79,874 Vol.
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$9,739 Vol.
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$4,066 Vol.
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$3,217 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating reaching second-term lows around 33-35 percent in mid-August 2026, driven primarily by public concern over the ongoing U.S.-Israel military actions involving Iran and the risk of prolonged engagement. This marks a continued decline from the 47 percent level recorded at the start of the second term in early 2025, with averages settling in the mid-to-high 30s amid partisan polarization exceeding 75 points in some surveys. Traders are monitoring how sustained conflict developments, economic conditions, and the November 2026 midterm elections could further pressure or stabilize ratings, as historical patterns indicate limited rebounds for presidents facing foreign policy challenges during their second term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$116,398Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating reaching second-term lows around 33-35 percent in mid-August 2026, driven primarily by public concern over the ongoing U.S.-Israel military actions involving Iran and the risk of prolonged engagement. This marks a continued decline from the 47 percent level recorded at the start of the second term in early 2025, with averages settling in the mid-to-high 30s amid partisan polarization exceeding 75 points in some surveys. Traders are monitoring how sustained conflict developments, economic conditions, and the November 2026 midterm elections could further pressure or stabilize ratings, as historical patterns indicate limited rebounds for presidents facing foreign policy challenges during their second term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$116,398Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating reaching second-term lows around 33-35 percent in mid-August 2026, driven primarily by public concern over the ongoing U.S.-Israel military actions involving Iran and the risk of prolonged engagement. This marks a continued decline from the 47 percent level recorded at the start of the second term in early 2025, with averages settling in the mid-to-high 30s amid partisan polarization exceeding 75 points in some surveys. Traders are monitoring how sustained conflict developments, economic conditions, and the November 2026 midterm elections could further pressure or stabilize ratings, as historical patterns indicate limited rebounds for presidents facing foreign policy challenges during their second term.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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