Trump's ongoing focus on executive actions and legislative priorities in his second term has reinforced trader expectations that he will complete his full term through 2028. As of May 2026, the administration continues advancing immigration enforcement, trade negotiations, and domestic policy without any public indications of health limitations or institutional pressures that historically precede resignations. Senate and House majorities aligned with the president have shown no signs of eroding support, while polling trends reflect steady approval among core constituencies. The 93.5 percent implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026, aligns with these factors and long-standing patterns where incumbents serve out their terms absent extraordinary events. Only a major unforeseen development, such as a sudden medical issue or unprecedented political crisis, could alter this consensus.