Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 25 posts daily during active political periods, underpins the 70% trader consensus for 200+ posts in the August 11-18 window. As president, his platform use for policy announcements, legislative updates, and responses to events sustains elevated output, with the current pace through August 17 aligning with historical weekly totals above 180. No major disruptions or reduced activity have emerged in the past week to shift expectations, though the final day could influence whether totals land in the 180-199 range versus higher. The lower-probability brackets reflect limited scenarios for sharp slowdowns absent unexpected developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDonald Trump # Truth Post social 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Post social 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?
200+ 70%
180-199 26%
160-179 3.9%
140-159 <1%
$50,489 Vol.
$50,489 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
4%
180-199
26%
200+
70%
200+ 70%
180-199 26%
160-179 3.9%
140-159 <1%
$50,489 Vol.
$50,489 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
$5,515 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$6,468 Vol.
4%
180-199
$4,958 Vol.
26%
200+
$8,315 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 25 posts daily during active political periods, underpins the 70% trader consensus for 200+ posts in the August 11-18 window. As president, his platform use for policy announcements, legislative updates, and responses to events sustains elevated output, with the current pace through August 17 aligning with historical weekly totals above 180. No major disruptions or reduced activity have emerged in the past week to shift expectations, though the final day could influence whether totals land in the 180-199 range versus higher. The lower-probability brackets reflect limited scenarios for sharp slowdowns absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$50,489Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 25 posts daily during active political periods, underpins the 70% trader consensus for 200+ posts in the August 11-18 window. As president, his platform use for policy announcements, legislative updates, and responses to events sustains elevated output, with the current pace through August 17 aligning with historical weekly totals above 180. No major disruptions or reduced activity have emerged in the past week to shift expectations, though the final day could influence whether totals land in the 180-199 range versus higher. The lower-probability brackets reflect limited scenarios for sharp slowdowns absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$50,489Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 25 posts daily during active political periods, underpins the 70% trader consensus for 200+ posts in the August 11-18 window. As president, his platform use for policy announcements, legislative updates, and responses to events sustains elevated output, with the current pace through August 17 aligning with historical weekly totals above 180. No major disruptions or reduced activity have emerged in the past week to shift expectations, though the final day could influence whether totals land in the 180-199 range versus higher. The lower-probability brackets reflect limited scenarios for sharp slowdowns absent unexpected developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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