Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$100,667 Vol.
$100,667 Vol.
21 ago 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
Yes
200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$100,667 Vol.
$100,667 Vol.
21 ago 2026
<20
$2,255 Vol.
No
20-39
$417 Vol.
No
40-59
$5,987 Vol.
No
60-79
$15,726 Vol.
No
80-99
$21,944 Vol.
No
100-119
$6,589 Vol.
No
120-139
$8,480 Vol.
No
140-159
$7,505 Vol.
No
160-179
$6,608 Vol.
No
180-199
$7,972 Vol.
No
200+
$17,183 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$100,667Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$100,667Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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