Ongoing U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases tied to the Iran conflict and Hormuz disruptions remain the dominant driver pushing SPR levels lower, with inventories at 289.7 million barrels for the week ending August 21—down 3.7 million barrels that week and at a multi-decade low. Commercial crude stocks held near 428.9 million barrels, showing modest weekly builds amid 13.8 million barrels per day production and 97.4% refinery utilization. The authorized 172-million-barrel drawdown continues at a pace of several million barrels weekly, with the next EIA reports on September 2 and thereafter determining whether levels breach key thresholds before the September 25 cutoff. Market-implied odds reflect sustained supply-side pressure offset by potential seasonal demand or policy shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato280M
96%
270M
41%
260M
23%
250M
11%
200M
2%
$3,193 Vol.
280M
96%
270M
41%
260M
23%
250M
11%
200M
2%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases tied to the Iran conflict and Hormuz disruptions remain the dominant driver pushing SPR levels lower, with inventories at 289.7 million barrels for the week ending August 21—down 3.7 million barrels that week and at a multi-decade low. Commercial crude stocks held near 428.9 million barrels, showing modest weekly builds amid 13.8 million barrels per day production and 97.4% refinery utilization. The authorized 172-million-barrel drawdown continues at a pace of several million barrels weekly, with the next EIA reports on September 2 and thereafter determining whether levels breach key thresholds before the September 25 cutoff. Market-implied odds reflect sustained supply-side pressure offset by potential seasonal demand or policy shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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