The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 announcement of its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1 has been the dominant recent catalyst, driven by long-standing disputes over production quotas and a strategic pivot toward greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions. No other member states have issued comparable exit statements or signaled parallel moves through official channels. Remaining producers continue coordinated output adjustments via OPEC+, including recent volume cuts among key participants, reflecting sustained institutional commitment to collective management. This pattern, alongside the absence of fresh diplomatic or policy triggers for additional departures, underpins the current trader consensus favoring stability through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
$92,594 Vol.
$92,594 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$92,594 Vol.
$92,594 Vol.
31 dic 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 announcement of its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1 has been the dominant recent catalyst, driven by long-standing disputes over production quotas and a strategic pivot toward greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions. No other member states have issued comparable exit statements or signaled parallel moves through official channels. Remaining producers continue coordinated output adjustments via OPEC+, including recent volume cuts among key participants, reflecting sustained institutional commitment to collective management. This pattern, alongside the absence of fresh diplomatic or policy triggers for additional departures, underpins the current trader consensus favoring stability through year-end.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$92,594Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 announcement of its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1 has been the dominant recent catalyst, driven by long-standing disputes over production quotas and a strategic pivot toward greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions. No other member states have issued comparable exit statements or signaled parallel moves through official channels. Remaining producers continue coordinated output adjustments via OPEC+, including recent volume cuts among key participants, reflecting sustained institutional commitment to collective management. This pattern, alongside the absence of fresh diplomatic or policy triggers for additional departures, underpins the current trader consensus favoring stability through year-end.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,594Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 announcement of its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1 has been the dominant recent catalyst, driven by long-standing disputes over production quotas and a strategic pivot toward greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions. No other member states have issued comparable exit statements or signaled parallel moves through official channels. Remaining producers continue coordinated output adjustments via OPEC+, including recent volume cuts among key participants, reflecting sustained institutional commitment to collective management. This pattern, alongside the absence of fresh diplomatic or policy triggers for additional departures, underpins the current trader consensus favoring stability through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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