Recent US-Iran talks following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have deferred core nuclear questions—including uranium enrichment levels and highly enriched stockpiles—to a 60-day window ending in mid-August, with no resolution on ending enrichment activities. Iran has upheld its current nuclear program status during the ceasefire, while reaffirming its position that enrichment on Iranian soil remains a core requirement, rejecting external demands for a multi-year moratorium or full suspension. Ongoing technical discussions have focused instead on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and asset releases, leaving enrichment limits unaddressed. These unresolved disputes and Iran's consistent stance on its enrichment rights underpin trader expectations that no agreement to terminate enrichment by the September 30 deadline will materialize.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 settembre?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 settembre?
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran talks following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have deferred core nuclear questions—including uranium enrichment levels and highly enriched stockpiles—to a 60-day window ending in mid-August, with no resolution on ending enrichment activities. Iran has upheld its current nuclear program status during the ceasefire, while reaffirming its position that enrichment on Iranian soil remains a core requirement, rejecting external demands for a multi-year moratorium or full suspension. Ongoing technical discussions have focused instead on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and asset releases, leaving enrichment limits unaddressed. These unresolved disputes and Iran's consistent stance on its enrichment rights underpin trader expectations that no agreement to terminate enrichment by the September 30 deadline will materialize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
Volume
$261Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran talks following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have deferred core nuclear questions—including uranium enrichment levels and highly enriched stockpiles—to a 60-day window ending in mid-August, with no resolution on ending enrichment activities. Iran has upheld its current nuclear program status during the ceasefire, while reaffirming its position that enrichment on Iranian soil remains a core requirement, rejecting external demands for a multi-year moratorium or full suspension. Ongoing technical discussions have focused instead on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and asset releases, leaving enrichment limits unaddressed. These unresolved disputes and Iran's consistent stance on its enrichment rights underpin trader expectations that no agreement to terminate enrichment by the September 30 deadline will materialize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$261Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran talks following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have deferred core nuclear questions—including uranium enrichment levels and highly enriched stockpiles—to a 60-day window ending in mid-August, with no resolution on ending enrichment activities. Iran has upheld its current nuclear program status during the ceasefire, while reaffirming its position that enrichment on Iranian soil remains a core requirement, rejecting external demands for a multi-year moratorium or full suspension. Ongoing technical discussions have focused instead on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and asset releases, leaving enrichment limits unaddressed. These unresolved disputes and Iran's consistent stance on its enrichment rights underpin trader expectations that no agreement to terminate enrichment by the September 30 deadline will materialize.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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