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Politica·Iran

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

icon for Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
Politica·Iran

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

72% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
72% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senate appropriators reviewed the Trump administration’s $87.6 billion supplemental request in late July hearings, with Defense Secretary Hegseth citing $37.5 billion already spent on Iran-related operations and urging replenishment of munitions and readiness funds.** House Republicans advanced a related $95 billion package allocating roughly $60–70 billion for war costs plus farm aid, while the Senate easily passed a continuing resolution in early August to avert a shutdown and buy time for further action. These steps, combined with longstanding bipartisan support for defense supplements and the low $20 billion threshold relative to the request, underpin the 74.5% implied probability for passage by September 30. Partisan differences over strategy and oversight remain, but procedural momentum favors timely approval of at least the minimum amount.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$417
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senate appropriators reviewed the Trump administration’s $87.6 billion supplemental request in late July hearings, with Defense Secretary Hegseth citing $37.5 billion already spent on Iran-related operations and urging replenishment of munitions and readiness funds.** House Republicans advanced a related $95 billion package allocating roughly $60–70 billion for war costs plus farm aid, while the Senate easily passed a continuing resolution in early August to avert a shutdown and buy time for further action. These steps, combined with longstanding bipartisan support for defense supplements and the low $20 billion threshold relative to the request, underpin the 74.5% implied probability for passage by September 30. Partisan differences over strategy and oversight remain, but procedural momentum favors timely approval of at least the minimum amount.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$417
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 73% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 73¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 73% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 26, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" è 73% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 73% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.