Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles against President Trump have intensified following his April 2026 statements during the Iran conflict, prompting over 70 House Democrats to support resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing alleged abuse of war powers and usurpation of congressional authority. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced and referred to the Judiciary Committee, reflecting sustained partisan pressure. June 2026 polling showing 53% of Americans believe grounds for impeachment exist has reinforced trader views on momentum, while the 2026 midterm elections remain a key variable that could alter House control and procedural pathways before the term concludes in January 2029. These factors contribute to the current 61.5% implied probability for impeachment occurring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
62% probabilità
$89,039 Vol.
$89,039 Vol.
20 gen 2029
Sì
62% probabilità
$89,039 Vol.
$89,039 Vol.
20 gen 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles against President Trump have intensified following his April 2026 statements during the Iran conflict, prompting over 70 House Democrats to support resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing alleged abuse of war powers and usurpation of congressional authority. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced and referred to the Judiciary Committee, reflecting sustained partisan pressure. June 2026 polling showing 53% of Americans believe grounds for impeachment exist has reinforced trader views on momentum, while the 2026 midterm elections remain a key variable that could alter House control and procedural pathways before the term concludes in January 2029. These factors contribute to the current 61.5% implied probability for impeachment occurring.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,039Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles against President Trump have intensified following his April 2026 statements during the Iran conflict, prompting over 70 House Democrats to support resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing alleged abuse of war powers and usurpation of congressional authority. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced and referred to the Judiciary Committee, reflecting sustained partisan pressure. June 2026 polling showing 53% of Americans believe grounds for impeachment exist has reinforced trader views on momentum, while the 2026 midterm elections remain a key variable that could alter House control and procedural pathways before the term concludes in January 2029. These factors contribute to the current 61.5% implied probability for impeachment occurring.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,039Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles against President Trump have intensified following his April 2026 statements during the Iran conflict, prompting over 70 House Democrats to support resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing alleged abuse of war powers and usurpation of congressional authority. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced and referred to the Judiciary Committee, reflecting sustained partisan pressure. June 2026 polling showing 53% of Americans believe grounds for impeachment exist has reinforced trader views on momentum, while the 2026 midterm elections remain a key variable that could alter House control and procedural pathways before the term concludes in January 2029. These factors contribute to the current 61.5% implied probability for impeachment occurring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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